Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-11-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88d02ee30611ad77350957169df0440fed08e9392cfe985ae8e7dbf4daf3c6cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,480
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,194
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,480 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 57c | 30,000$17,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,100 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 43c | 29,602$12,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,873 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 4,214$2,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,130.26 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 54c | 2,164$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.46 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 35c | 2,134$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.41 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 46c | 2,000$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.7 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 46c | 1,852$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 150 | 64%96 W · 54 L | +25.0wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 46c | 1,851$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.54 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 44c | 1,300$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.99 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…b44dbacked Yes | 48c | 1,098$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.1 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 57c | 1,005$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.67 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90fc…064fbacked Yes | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 47c | 732.11$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.02 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 44c | 702.81$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.57 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ec…744bbacked No | 55c | 689.09$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 76c | 654$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.03 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…491dbacked Yes | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.17 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 53c | 528$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.84 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21c1…692cbacked Yes | 46c | 437.73$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.73 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3944…6470backed Yes | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 56c | 385$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.6 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…b7e2backed Yes | 46c | 342.39$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 33cpaid | +275.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 54c | 332.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.81 | 143 | 64.3%92 W · 51 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed No | 55c | 274.73$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.24 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x203e…a9b5backed Yes | 48c | 246.96$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.42 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 52c | 231.82$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.55 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…3d5bbacked Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb531…b230backed Yes | 46c | 218.74$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.12 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…c123backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +137.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2109…55bfbacked Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…d5e6backed Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 55c | 187.76$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.31 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 16c | 170$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…85b7backed Yes | 46c | 156.52$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.52 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 10c | 155.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 54c | 141.79$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.57 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 15c | 125$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 210 | 41.9%88 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 55c | 118.18$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 46c | 110$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 158 | 29.1%46 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 45c | 108$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…1655backed Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf64…92bdbacked Yes | 46c | 97.89$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.86 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 28c | 96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3399…8659backed Yes | 46c | 92.09$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 43c | 87.28$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.73 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 55c | 84.22$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.32 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 45c | 57.73$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.83 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked No | 25c | 52.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Yes | 72c | 51.11$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…d934backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd743…59bdbacked Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…815bbacked Yes | 46c | 48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x497f…da80backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ce…ac7abacked Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc487…dc86backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x438c…481abacked Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6457…9463backed Yes | 46c | 41.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 55c | 39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…3286backed No | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -7.1wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x97f1…c325backed No | 55c | 36.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…ba82backed Yes | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed No | 31c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9532…b474backed Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…70fdbacked Yes | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882e…e757backed Yes | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc36a…be63backed Yes | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 56c | 29.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 55c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…0e62backed Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Yes | 75c | 25.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 55c | 22.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 55c | 20.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d7…95d4backed Yes | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-11-22?this page
- Will 1. FC Heidenheim vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?No won
- Will 1. FC Heidenheim win on 2025-11-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.