Bundesliga · resolved market
SC Freiburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bbf7fc5bb252092312d199cec413e4c7a1ec7d8af9c68fad391c7e3137b1c06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,944
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,817
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,944 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf5a…bf0abacked No | 5c | 1,931$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.53 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 884.56$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.48 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…0de9backed No | 44c | 700$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2590…e38ebacked No | 11c | 600.83$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.07 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 56c | 598.02$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.13 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed No | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 57c | 499.96$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.98 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 74c | 466.39$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.62 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 50c | 388.17$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.65 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…7300backed No | 3c | 383.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e46…e394backed Yes | 57c | 350.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.86 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 62cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 43c | 282.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.69 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 57c | 250$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.5 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 60c | 213.9$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.02 | 381 | 51.4%196 W · 185 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 54c | 189.44$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.14 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9670…6589backed No | 8c | 181.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Yes | 58c | 172.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.59 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 58c | 163.79$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.79 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x373b…1107backed No | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…22b6backed Yes | 32c | 105.58$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.58 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +5.8wins | +0.23per pick | 33cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed No | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked No | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…798abacked Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 55c | 97.81$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.13 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 21c | 94.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.3 | 207 | 53.6%111 W · 96 L | +22.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…c2bbbacked No | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 42c | 89.93$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.77 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 47c | 85.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 21c | 70.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 147 | 58.5%86 W · 61 L | +15.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Yes | 40c | 57.88$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f6…4892backed Yes | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 77c | 56.13$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.07 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…d934backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Yes | 30c | 49.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 21c | 48.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 43c | 45.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed Yes | 57c | 41.79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed No | 42c | 39.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Yes | 54c | 39.29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed No | 59c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…0d47backed Yes | 54c | 30.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +6.3wins | +0.33per pick | 46cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed Yes | 56c | 30.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a93…36babacked No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 43c | 27.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 43c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a45…f81bbacked No | 45c | 25.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 56c | 22.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Freiburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- SC Freiburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Freiburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5Over won
- SC Freiburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5Under won
- SC Freiburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.