Bundesliga · resolved market
SC Freiburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3bc7eab3f1f1c79c515c89a5d99e9ba7d61eb8bfc1f696da022bff0a46f6e139
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,983
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,826
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,983 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 11,849$6,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,973.94 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 48c | 6,283$3,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,012.8 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 48c | 5,498$2,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,638.84 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 54c | 4,758$2,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,189.36 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Under | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.99 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Over | 52c | 3,656$1,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,754.65 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0126…4047backed Under | 48c | 3,208$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…9ec7backed Over | 45c | 2,584$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +121.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Over | 52c | 1,692$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.31 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 47c | 1,653$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.82 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Under | 20c | 1,230$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.94 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…7300backed Under | 2c | 1,212$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Over | 53c | 998.91$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.49 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 53c | 958$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.26 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 53c | 923.4$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 79c | 913.75$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.02 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2590…e38ebacked Under | 9c | 908.24$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.38 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…d35fbacked Under | 66c | 755.76$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 48c | 700$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 54c | 694.21$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.09 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 49c | 606$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.06 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 52c | 591.46$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.45 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 36c | 550.25$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.75 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 52c | 544$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.12 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Over | 26c | 511.31$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.37 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Under | 14c | 491.57$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.22 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +12.1wins | +0.29per pick | 45cpaid | +73%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 39c | 431.14$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.88 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 59c | 420.01$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.81 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb48b…04ebbacked Over | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over | 53c | 379.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.29 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 32c | 330$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.4 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 67c | 327.6$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.45 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…fbe3backed Over | 53c | 320$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.45 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…5ac3backed Under | 16c | 300$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.08 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 47c | 299.88$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.76 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed Over | 52c | 296.15$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.15 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe55d…2335backed Under | 48c | 293$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a1…4dbdbacked Over | 52c | 291.68$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Under | 9c | 273.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 48c | 263.79$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.62 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Over | 79c | 235.44$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.44 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9670…6589backed Under | 8c | 217.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68ff…997ebacked Over | 46c | 199.97$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 41c | 178.37$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.81 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373b…1107backed Over | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 23c | 127$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.79 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 45c | 122.22$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.22 | 118 | 57.6%68 W · 50 L | +15.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 271 | 42.8%116 W · 155 L | +18.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 51c | 97.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf5a…bf0abacked Under | 38c | 97.86$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.19 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 66c | 97.85$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.06 | 146 | 42.5%62 W · 84 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 209 | 57.4%120 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 56c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 45c | 89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa42…2ff3backed Under | 19c | 88.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 20c | 84.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Over | 54c | 78.65$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.18 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 64c | 77.14$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…0d47backed Over | 54c | 74.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +6.3wins | +0.33per pick | 46cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Over | 52c | 63.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d4…994cbacked Over | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 54c | 60.6$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +5.5wins | +0.25per pick | 43cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed Over | 42c | 60.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 46c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +10.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6c…a67dbacked Under | 51c | 56.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…630cbacked Over | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 63c | 53.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.53 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 76c | 53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…ee4dbacked Under | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…5d9bbacked Over | 77c | 50.6$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +95.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Under | 48c | 48.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 40c | 41.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Under | 48c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Under | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 52c | 39.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +13.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 57c | 38.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4025…33e2backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +6.5wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd00e…fb86backed Over | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Under | 48c | 34.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…bc49backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Over | 39c | 28.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Freiburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5this page
- SC Freiburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SC Freiburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Freiburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5Under won
- SC Freiburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.