Bundesliga · resolved market
SC Freiburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc2f40b500567286fbb4bbe1d4547e92b47770dd07cbdec6f8dc8facf41c62cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,994
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,994 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Over | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 8c | 1,746$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.79 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…fbe3backed Over | 30c | 1,675$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.43 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 13c | 1,069$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.24 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 29c | 973.53$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.85 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c02…6d3abacked Over | 14c | 810.84$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 29c | 764.1$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.9 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Over | 29c | 700$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 31c | 618$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.58 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 21c | 393.4$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.35 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed Under | 72c | 348$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.44 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Over | 30c | 336.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Over | 29c | 275.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed Over | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.69 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 271 | 42.8%116 W · 155 L | +18.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea72…d821backed Under | 71c | 199.45$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.84 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…6de8backed Over | 30c | 151.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b7…37d5backed Over | 25c | 140$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fee…1502backed Under | 70c | 124.66$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3160…e846backed Over | 14c | 117.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 31c | 116.13$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Over | 31c | 115$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 70c | 107.39$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…ee4dbacked Over | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 30c | 80.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc964…aca1backed Under | 71c | 72.51$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2997…fb06backed Under | 71c | 72.43$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c50…ef2cbacked Under | 71c | 72.11$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…fde8backed Under | 71c | 71.48$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…944fbacked Under | 71c | 71.2$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 72c | 69.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0575…a83fbacked Under | 72c | 69.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x399c…aa71backed Over | 28c | 69.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 30c | 67.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 209 | 57.4%120 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 381 | 51.4%196 W · 185 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Over | 30c | 58.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Over | 30c | 57.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 26c | 52.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +10.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4c82…dca9backed Under | 71c | 51.08$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +15.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 30c | 48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 73c | 46.32$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed Under | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 29c | 38.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 29c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 78c | 28.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 69c | 24.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Under | 79c | 12.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.63 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Freiburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5this page
- SC Freiburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SC Freiburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Freiburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5Over won
- SC Freiburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.