Asian League · resolved market
Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfcd56fe3c1f42258b19385360b634ee24e4c988aeb10e13451c5b62992a3e108
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,137
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,137 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 33c | 1,850$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.95 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 65c | 399.98$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.99 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…0d47backed Over | 54c | 370.22$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.3 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 67c | 370.17$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.71 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 46c | 313.87$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.49 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 35c | 206.56$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.56 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 64c | 135$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Under | 42c | 125$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.05 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 32c | 112.32$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.61 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4929…b9f9backed Over | 66c | 112.15$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 69c | 85.51$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 276 | 39.5%109 W · 167 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 54c | 72.77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.47 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 66c | 66.65$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.66 | 83 | 63.9%53 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 62c | 58$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed Over | 65c | 58$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7e…5705backed Under | 34c | 49.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…dddfbacked Over | 69c | 44.97$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 25c | 41.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Under | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 65c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 36c | 32.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…fe2abacked Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Over | 77c | 27.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 63c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 1.5this page
- Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Riyadh Saudi Club (-1.5)Damac Saudi Club won
- Spread: Damac Saudi Club (-1.5)Damac Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.