Ligue 1 · resolved market
Le Havre AC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74bcae6053f4761f42700f4e56b6de63f69d6cad9a4c6e9609d993ca766774e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $130,080
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $131,311
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,080 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3333…15bdbacked Over | 21c | 104,375$21,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,899.32 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Under | 79c | 61,471$48,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,908.82 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 47,798$34,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,422.74 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Over | 62c | 7,157$4,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,437.13 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 38c | 3,600$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,232 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 37c | 2,336$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,481.67 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 49c | 1,526$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.84 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18b2…9141backed Over | 63c | 1,053$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…dff2backed Over | 59c | 1,052$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.66 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 64c | 842.49$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.29 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over | 63c | 739.01$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.58 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -60%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 79c | 730.96$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.42 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 64c | 678.19$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.83 | 266 | 60.5%161 W · 105 L | +25.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 62c | 600$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 55c | 363.6$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 41c | 350.72$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.8 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x140d…a937backed Over | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 59c | 337.07$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6100…7827backed Over | 63c | 314.29$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +61%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 41c | 212.26$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.03 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 45c | 200.89$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.45 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Over | 66c | 199$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.34 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 75c | 196.56$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.95 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2b…d4d3backed Over | 63c | 190.48$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc377…c730backed Over | 57c | 178.98$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 67c | 162.82$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.05 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed Over | 63c | 158$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.54 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f03…dc32backed Over | 56c | 143.59$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 55c | 140$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Under | 79c | 131.8$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25ef…8e6fbacked Over | 57c | 119.66$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.79 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 38c | 118$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.16 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 38c | 116.69$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.35 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…0d47backed Over | 45c | 111.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 63c | 109.52$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 49c | 101.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 223 | 40.8%91 W · 132 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…b088backed Over | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Under | 34c | 99.98$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbf…06d3backed Over | 44c | 99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d43…cecdbacked Over | 43c | 83.3$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…3a2abacked Under | 38c | 67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 45c | 66.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 67c | 62.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 28c | 57.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…d90ebacked Over | 66c | 56.94$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.58 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…407fbacked Over | 67c | 55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Over | 56c | 53.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.7wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 79c | 48.08$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 63 | 68.3%43 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…3243backed Over | 66c | 46.77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…81c5backed Over | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Over | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed37…5748backed Over | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…90c2backed Over | 49c | 39.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27de…9b6abacked Over | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 38c | 36.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x030d…8e95backed Over | 66c | 32.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe038…7e6abacked Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 36c | 29.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 140 | 57.1%80 W · 60 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…768ebacked Under | 61c | 29.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5654…3fa2backed Over | 51c | 27.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df0…9a65backed Under | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc252…0aebbacked Over | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.41per pick | 57cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x167b…6075backed Over | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e88…8fb7backed Over | 58c | 22.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 49c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Le Havre AC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Le Havre AC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Le Havre AC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Le Havre AC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Le Havre AC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Le Havre AC (-1.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Le Havre AC (-2.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)Le Havre AC won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)Le Havre AC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.