Ligue 1 · resolved market
Le Havre AC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2863eb6cdbcfe02eb909fc7db9110110d68ea741bddc6eabca0b6432651591b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,233
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,840
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,233 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 33c | 22,471$7,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,131.32 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2795…fd6bbacked Over | 15c | 5,856$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked Over | 71c | 4,000$2,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,840 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 74c | 3,645$2,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.4 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked Over | 1c | 3,500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.99 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Over | 70c | 2,000$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.97 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 36c | 1,279$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.36 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 51c | 1,153$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.68 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae77…fa72backed Under | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5849…dcf1backed Under | 16c | 979.06$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…c413backed Over | 77c | 819.48$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Over | 19c | 817.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.42 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 72c | 805.54$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.97 | 150 | 48.7%73 W · 77 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…9cfbbacked Over | 75c | 641$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 54c | 415.32$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3674…1bccbacked Under | 54c | 401.85$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 58c | 400$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad8b…aa8dbacked Over | 73c | 269.87$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 15c | 250$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 15c | 250$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 15c | 250$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 12c | 249.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.41 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…8fd8backed Over | 73c | 249.12$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.86 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 74c | 231.93$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.63 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Over | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…1ab4backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Over | 39c | 165$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Over | 15c | 164.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32f2…7830backed Over | 53c | 159.98$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.19 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 11c | 154.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…5f1dbacked Over | 37c | 137$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.69 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Over | 52c | 129.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.3 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22ac…7409backed Over | 79c | 128.39$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 35c | 124.28$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.45 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Over | 9c | 122.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x164c…3e39backed Under | 16c | 114.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 223 | 40.8%91 W · 132 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 45c | 85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Over | 58c | 82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.56 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 55c | 72.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Over | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 59c | 70$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…90c2backed Over | 60c | 67.92$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61d8…30d9backed Over | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 65cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 65c | 60$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34e4…e1e1backed Under | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked Under | 66c | 45.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b7…37d5backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -5.1wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 75c | 38.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 266 | 60.5%161 W · 105 L | +25.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed Over | 35c | 38.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…a7ecbacked Under | 30c | 37.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 77c | 37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 162 | 24.1%39 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff6b…c91abacked Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…a082backed Over | 77c | 31.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9df0…9a65backed Under | 65c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x843c…529ebacked Over | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfde8…c52fbacked Over | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 44cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2b…d0d2backed Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x746f…8dc7backed Over | 71c | 19.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5654…3fa2backed Over | 64c | 17.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8750…0841backed Over | 74c | 16.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 64c | 16.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1878…85e2backed Under | 63c | 16.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Le Havre AC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Le Havre AC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Le Havre AC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Le Havre AC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Le Havre AC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Le Havre AC (-1.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Le Havre AC (-2.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)Le Havre AC won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)Le Havre AC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.