Ligue 1 · resolved market
Le Havre AC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e2270fc05026cbfcf872d6ec891dc32da00985c88b98095d5682d40c9f9bb44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,060
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,224
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,060 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe19a…abafbacked Under | 57c | 1,100$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 74c | 1,024$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.21 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 58c | 800$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.1 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 2c | 788$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 41c | 659.59$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.42 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 32c | 631.94$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.88 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 42c | 594.86$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.4 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 41c | 487.93$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 35c | 464.2$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.85 | 266 | 60.5%161 W · 105 L | +25.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 43c | 356.19$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.16 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 19c | 293.88$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.04 | 150 | 48.7%73 W · 77 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 64c | 281.07$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.95 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -10.4wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 43c | 221.66$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.31 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Under | 57c | 145.61$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.61 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 57c | 125$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 80c | 118.55$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 63c | 100.91$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.52 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…f67dbacked Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Over | 38c | 90.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.51 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Over | 45c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Under | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Over | 42c | 72.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125c…f50abacked Over | 40c | 59.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | -6.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 43c | 58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.06 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Under | 57c | 57.89$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a9…6afabacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Over | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf10…557ebacked Over | 44c | 45.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 71c | 45.4$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59ab…18c6backed Under | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05bb…1879backed Over | 44c | 43.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +6.3wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 56c | 38.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 162 | 24.1%39 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…d90ebacked Over | 37c | 37.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Under | 61c | 35.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 70c | 34.35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 41c | 33.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 43c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…7f64backed Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 43c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 59c | 28.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 140 | 57.1%80 W · 60 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7023…b538backed Under | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 53c | 25.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb57…e52ebacked Under | 61c | 16.47$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Le Havre AC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Le Havre AC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Le Havre AC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Le Havre AC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Le Havre AC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Le Havre AC (-1.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Le Havre AC (-2.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)Le Havre AC won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)Le Havre AC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.