Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa6a569167c3609a1938348a4382c431d0432589e415b44b90393aa1af7924ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Le Havre ACof Paris Saint-Germain FC, Le Havre AC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,972
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,318
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,972 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 30c | 6,457$1,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,937.04 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Le Havre AC | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Le Havre AC | 72c | 1,844$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.5 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Le Havre AC | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 232 | 60.8%141 W · 91 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Le Havre AC | 67c | 290.08$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.7 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb672…456fbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 33c | 287.88$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Le Havre AC | 70c | 270$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 177 | 56.5%100 W · 77 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Le Havre AC | 70c | 255$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.25 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Le Havre AC | 70c | 225$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 11c | 209.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 150 | 48.7%73 W · 77 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Le Havre AC | 70c | 180$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Le Havre AC | 70c | 180$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 84 | 60.7%51 W · 33 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Le Havre AC | 69c | 165.72$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.09 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed Le Havre AC | 70c | 161.42$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.43 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -8.5wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf404…0271backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Le Havre AC | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Le Havre AC | 70c | 120$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Le Havre AC | 70c | 120$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Le Havre AC | 70c | 120$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Le Havre AC | 70c | 120$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Le Havre AC | 70c | 120$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Le Havre AC | 70c | 120$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Le Havre AC | 70c | 120$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Le Havre AC | 70c | 120$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Le Havre AC | 70c | 120$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Le Havre AC | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Le Havre AC | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Le Havre AC | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc317…4f97backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Le Havre AC | 70c | 86.03$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked Le Havre AC | 70c | 80$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 23c | 77.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 178 | 17.4%31 W · 147 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Le Havre AC | 68c | 75.72$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf158…aa4bbacked Le Havre AC | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Le Havre AC | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Le Havre AC | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Le Havre AC | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Le Havre AC | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Le Havre AC | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8142…f311backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Le Havre AC | 57c | 49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 43c | 49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba0…e885backed Le Havre AC | 70c | 47.14$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed Le Havre AC | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc884…a4e6backed Le Havre AC | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked Le Havre AC | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)this page
- Le Havre AC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Le Havre AC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Le Havre AC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Le Havre AC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Le Havre AC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Le Havre AC (-1.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Le Havre AC (-2.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)Le Havre AC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.