Ligue 1 · resolved market
Le Havre AC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae6bcb2f8891cbd2be647efdd4c124bcc10dd3b97fb37784cda750887086a99d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,804
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,246
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,804 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb321…df2bbacked No | 68c | 391.59$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 27c | 384.3$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.08 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 52c | 299.99$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.99 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…8cbdbacked No | 67c | 275.38$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed No | 50c | 260.14$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.07 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 37c | 196.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6081…f0f2backed Yes | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f60…9c5cbacked No | 61c | 171.56$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 31c | 161.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked No | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 50c | 119.01$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.79 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…5a75backed Yes | 51c | 101.25$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…f67dbacked Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 49c | 87.43$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.59 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked No | 51c | 59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked No | 75c | 53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…a474backed Yes | 50c | 38.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…a4abbacked No | 53c | 33.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fcb…4381backed Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…9b2bbacked No | 49c | 26.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 52c | 25.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1e…e503backed No | 49c | 25.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…99d0backed No | 49c | 25.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8c…1977backed No | 49c | 24.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Le Havre AC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Le Havre AC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Le Havre AC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Le Havre AC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Le Havre AC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Le Havre AC (-1.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Le Havre AC (-2.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)Le Havre AC won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)Le Havre AC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.