Mls · resolved market
Seattle Sounders FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72b3eecc3ad07ff5b4e33a7ddfd4f6e63318a9210d1e70aae9b7a9a63ee67a23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,024
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,024 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 57c | 1,191$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.88 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 22c | 1,040$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.58 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 17c | 969.33$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.49 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Over | 13c | 800$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 74c | 709.88$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.32 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ca…6a3abacked Over | 44c | 272.74$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 35c | 214.29$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 17c | 198.62$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 41c | 187.53$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.89 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -5.1wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -44%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7d98…84cabacked Over | 34c | 182.79$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 11c | 99.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Under | 57c | 86$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.98 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73d0…45bdbacked Over | 43c | 71.56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 20c | 57.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 76c | 46.05$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 42c | 44.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Under | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 43c | 39.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…0d47backed Over | 39c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 79c | 27.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6c…a67dbacked Under | 69c | 25.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 67c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x95dc…4b45backed Under | 59c | 17.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 3.5this page
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Colorado Rapids SC (-1.5)Seattle Sounders FC won
- Spread: Colorado Rapids SC (-2.5)Seattle Sounders FC won
- Spread: Seattle Sounders FC (-1.5)Seattle Sounders FC won
- Spread: Seattle Sounders FC (-2.5)Colorado Rapids SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.