Mls · resolved market
Seattle Sounders FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x927ba26dcb0a1007fc19ba9f72173f1c8f41ce8cd22b3176c12f9d8b79e381ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,166
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,154
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,166 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e46…e394backed Yes | 58c | 345.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed No | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 45c | 222.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.76 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 44c | 190.05$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.43 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -37%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Yes | 57c | 153.65$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.58 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 53c | 152.41$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.58 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x373b…1107backed Yes | 54c | 149.96$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 45c | 141.4$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.46 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes | 55c | 124.47$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1460…b5bbbacked Yes | 55c | 108.17$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | +13.1wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 44c | 61$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.16 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 43c | 59.8$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.79 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…683fbacked Yes | 56c | 46.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.45per pick | 62cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Yes | 46c | 43.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked No | 46c | 42.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.69 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 40c | 33.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f14…4418backed Yes | 58c | 30.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbabd…f4d2backed Yes | 47c | 25.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Yes | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf635…a7bfbacked Yes | 60c | 19.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Colorado Rapids SC (-1.5)Seattle Sounders FC won
- Spread: Colorado Rapids SC (-2.5)Seattle Sounders FC won
- Spread: Seattle Sounders FC (-1.5)Seattle Sounders FC won
- Spread: Seattle Sounders FC (-2.5)Colorado Rapids SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.