Mls · resolved market
Spread: Seattle Sounders FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde9af9c5c2b75b8c56e1406dba7403d97f36bbd263b6a51caea284fa9209395b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Sounders FCof Seattle Sounders FC, Colorado Rapids SC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $147,113
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $147,749
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,113 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Seattle Sounders FC | 49c | 123,012$59,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,229.52 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Colorado Rapids SC | 51c | 30,567$15,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,700.13 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Colorado Rapids SC | 51c | 24,130$12,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,308 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Colorado Rapids SC | 50c | 20,711$10,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,434.44 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Colorado Rapids SC | 52c | 13,049$6,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,811.34 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Colorado Rapids SC | 50c | 11,934$5,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,967 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Colorado Rapids SC | 52c | 5,809$3,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,020.69 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596b…c1ecbacked Seattle Sounders FC | 50c | 4,020$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,010 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Colorado Rapids SC | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Colorado Rapids SC | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Colorado Rapids SC | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Colorado Rapids SC | 52c | 3,031$1,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38b0…060cbacked Colorado Rapids SC | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Seattle Sounders FC | 50c | 2,381$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.14 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x916f…53babacked Seattle Sounders FC | 50c | 2,220$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.12 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Seattle Sounders FC | 56c | 2,122$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Colorado Rapids SC | 50c | 1,967$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.65 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Colorado Rapids SC | 51c | 1,744$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.64 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Colorado Rapids SC | 52c | 1,497$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.27 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -14.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Colorado Rapids SC | 51c | 1,100$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.37 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Colorado Rapids SC | 50c | 934.25$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.03 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Colorado Rapids SC | 54c | 775.96$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.92 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Colorado Rapids SC | 50c | 754$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.88 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Colorado Rapids SC | 52c | 366.5$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d3…9af1backed Seattle Sounders FC | 49c | 343$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Seattle Sounders FC | 50c | 308$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Seattle Sounders FC | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f14…4418backed Seattle Sounders FC | 56c | 211.57$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23de…05c1backed Colorado Rapids SC | 52c | 211.22$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Colorado Rapids SC | 52c | 208$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.16 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Colorado Rapids SC | 52c | 201.87$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.21 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Seattle Sounders FC | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Colorado Rapids SC | 52c | 195.77$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.8 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Colorado Rapids SC | 50c | 174.28$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.59 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Colorado Rapids SC | 52c | 173.08$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fa…222bbacked Colorado Rapids SC | 51c | 127.75$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Colorado Rapids SC | 50c | 123.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.49 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Colorado Rapids SC | 50c | 119.7$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.98 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Seattle Sounders FC | 49c | 104.21$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.78 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6c…a67dbacked Colorado Rapids SC | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Colorado Rapids SC | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf904…26e5backed Seattle Sounders FC | 54c | 92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Colorado Rapids SC | 52c | 85.49$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.45 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd194…24b8backed Seattle Sounders FC | 50c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -60%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Colorado Rapids SC | 51c | 71.31$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Colorado Rapids SC | 53c | 55.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Colorado Rapids SC | 52c | 53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Seattle Sounders FC | 50c | 50.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.03 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Colorado Rapids SC | 48c | 47.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Seattle Sounders FC | 47c | 44.83$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Seattle Sounders FC | 74c | 43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…2e45backed Colorado Rapids SC | 39c | 38.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb4…db60backed Seattle Sounders FC | 46c | 38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd3…bd7fbacked Seattle Sounders FC | 73c | 35.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Colorado Rapids SC | 52c | 33.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Seattle Sounders FC | 49c | 31.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.23 | 259 | 34.4%89 W · 170 L | -28.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Colorado Rapids SC | 50c | 30.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Colorado Rapids SC | 53c | 30.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +63%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca53…195fbacked Colorado Rapids SC | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.7wins | -0.46per pick | 59cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Colorado Rapids SC | 53c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Colorado Rapids SC | 57c | 25.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Seattle Sounders FC | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0212…fee5backed Colorado Rapids SC | 53c | 24.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f88…293bbacked Colorado Rapids SC | 52c | 24.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed6a…841ebacked Colorado Rapids SC | 52c | 24.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Colorado Rapids SC | 53c | 20.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd7…caa5backed Colorado Rapids SC | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Colorado Rapids SC | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…efb5backed Colorado Rapids SC | 58c | 18.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Seattle Sounders FC (-1.5)this page
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Colorado Rapids SC (-1.5)Seattle Sounders FC won
- Spread: Colorado Rapids SC (-2.5)Seattle Sounders FC won
- Spread: Seattle Sounders FC (-2.5)Colorado Rapids SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.