Other European Leagues · resolved market
NEC vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9dd2cf5e11f1e80fcf0063811c79432ae94ccaa42e1c9f46f77a94d0169a7d99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,686
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,633
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,686 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 4,180$1,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,921.92 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 58c | 1,335$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.55 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 51c | 753.43$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.59 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 63c | 460.32$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.32 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc461…83dbbacked Under | 9c | 439$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 59c | 345.36$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.33 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 52c | 332.07$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.58 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6325…cfaabacked Under | 72c | 320.2$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.54 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6eb…bc82backed Under | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 69c | 290.61$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.61 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Under | 62c | 245.07$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.05 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9670…6589backed Under | 9c | 204.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c30…0ac6backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…3377backed Over | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Over | 28c | 178.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.52 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +10.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 38c | 150$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 26c | 125$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.12 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 26c | 124.21$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.35 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 37c | 122.63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.36 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 38c | 102.42$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.66 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa0…be2dbacked Under | 63c | 100.7$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.03 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…5f1dbacked Over | 49c | 99.94$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.97 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 43c | 97.67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.67 | 227 | 27.8%63 W · 164 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 27c | 97$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.33 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…0d47backed Over | 28c | 89.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.22 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 30c | 85.6$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.86 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 70c | 80$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cd…e951backed Under | 63c | 79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 74cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 27c | 70.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.62 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 59c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 42c | 67.26$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.25 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 38c | 62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 38c | 62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb239…80b4backed Under | 38c | 54.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 28c | 52.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 51c | 51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 28c | 47.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 48c | 29.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +10.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc53e…fbedbacked Under | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 73c | 25.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc92…6564backed Under | 70c | 24.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- NEC vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 4.5this page
- NEC vs. Fortuna Sittard: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- NEC vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 1.5Over won
- NEC vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 2.5Over won
- NEC vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Fortuna Sittard (-1.5)NEC won
- Spread: Fortuna Sittard (-2.5)NEC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.