Other European Leagues · resolved market
NEC vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97e62821650e85ee76c597092dbe8975c0f1a2e96cf8aaae85b7f4344baaf0e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,990
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,630
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,990 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed Over | 66c | 20,805$13,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,171.18 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 29c | 8,181$2,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,407.21 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 34c | 5,700$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,930.31 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 67c | 3,563$2,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.37 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Under | 35c | 2,546$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.1 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 35c | 2,069$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.81 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Under | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 34c | 1,195$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.91 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Under | 19c | 1,105$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.29 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 35c | 1,103$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.2 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 33c | 974.39$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.03 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 69c | 722.38$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.38 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Over | 64c | 550.3$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.3 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 39c | 364.71$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.06 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 35c | 332.5$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.92 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 34c | 180$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 68c | 176.47$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.47 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 31c | 163.67$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.47 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 35c | 135$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 35c | 125$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 35c | 125$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 35c | 124.45$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 35c | 115$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 35c | 112$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 35c | 92.96$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.36 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9860…c343backed Under | 34c | 90$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 35c | 90$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 35c | 90$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 34c | 77.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under | 35c | 75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 33c | 71.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Under | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d4…3691backed Over | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…6cb9backed Over | 68c | 50.84$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Under | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Under | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Under | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked Under | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55a2…0a44backed Under | 35c | 39.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 33c | 38.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 34c | 32.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…45e9backed Under | 34c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Under | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Under | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Under | 34c | 29.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Under | 35c | 29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Under | 35c | 29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 252 | 63.5%160 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b2…5f43backed Over | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 60c | 16.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- NEC vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 2.5this page
- NEC vs. Fortuna Sittard: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- NEC vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 1.5Over won
- NEC vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 3.5Over won
- NEC vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Fortuna Sittard (-1.5)NEC won
- Spread: Fortuna Sittard (-2.5)NEC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.