Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Randers FC win on 2026-02-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb9258623e198201e0c2a9b96b9d22035bbba56685acc8931adf31a4e7636803
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,219
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,569
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,219 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 43c | 11,370$4,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,514.26 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 44c | 8,649$3,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,837.25 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,949.99 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d1…f540backed Yes | 41c | 2,100$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.99 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 1,517$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.29 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 50c | 1,316$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.08 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 59c | 978.55$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.5 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 17c | 924.39$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.23 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 41c | 709$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.31 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 41c | 600$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 5c | 400$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 106 | 17.9%19 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 59c | 366.38$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.14 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 41c | 363.49$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.46 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88ad…9e5fbacked Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed No | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 41c | 215.9$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.38 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2109…55bfbacked Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Yes | 57c | 171.59$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.58 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked No | 45c | 168.8$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.11 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +10.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…a7ecbacked No | 60c | 99.02$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.61 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7355…4036backed Yes | 43c | 89.85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked No | 44c | 74.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.74 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +10.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 43c | 62.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20a2…dc15backed No | 44c | 62.25$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +206.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 41c | 60.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.58 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 59c | 60.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc913…80ddbacked Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38d5…865bbacked Yes | 43c | 38.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…0d47backed No | 44c | 29.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 53c | 25.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed No | 60c | 25.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6c…a67dbacked Yes | 59c | 24.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 49c | 21.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d59…811bbacked Yes | 57c | 18.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Randers FC win on 2026-02-22?this page
- Will FC Fredericia win on 2026-02-22?Yes won
- Will Randers FC vs. FC Fredericia end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.