Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Fredericia win on 2026-02-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x699f7b93c35f9a608cfdfa05b605cf8bc8923f233d5cc354790bef6887c1c68e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $127,117
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,710
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,117 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 17c | 52,002$8,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,058.32 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 16c | 15,939$2,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,451 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 14c | 8,661$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,447.53 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Yes | 17c | 2,596$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,152.6 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Yes | 17c | 2,045$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,689.71 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 79c | 1,857$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.53 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3454…333bbacked Yes | 18c | 1,700$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.08 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 67c | 1,324$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.97 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 33c | 912.99$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.3 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ba…1ae8backed No | 71c | 846.42$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +116%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 17c | 381.82$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.95 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Yes | 21c | 216$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.61 | 69 | 71%49 W · 20 L | +10.6wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 16c | 215.61$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.24 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d1…f540backed Yes | 72c | 138.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.52 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 79c | 123.9$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 77c | 120.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.16 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 17c | 120.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.35 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 15c | 102.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.19 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed No | 19c | 79.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +10.1wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | +229.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 64c | 79.16$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 41c | 56.78$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.77 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed No | 66c | 55.73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.64 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…6583backed No | 39c | 41.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed No | 77c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Fredericia win on 2026-02-22?this page
- Will Randers FC vs. FC Fredericia end in a draw?No won
- Will Randers FC win on 2026-02-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.