Other European Leagues · resolved market
Galatasaray SK vs. Alanyaspor: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5859864fcdc60c29c1514593db905121d857bbe8217308b9cbc519319a3d358f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,915
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,649
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,915 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x138d…3bd4backed Under | 21c | 5,487$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.83 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 76c | 2,202$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.49 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 1,621$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.5 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 72c | 1,148$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.33 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x694c…0215backed Over | 66c | 755.8$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.97 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 78c | 653.76$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.04 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 78c | 523.83$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.81 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 34c | 502.29$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.78 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 78c | 438.65$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.95 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 55c | 411.67$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.25 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 66c | 350$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 34c | 330.57$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.91 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Under | 38c | 257.34$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.79 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 36c | 250$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 56c | 214.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.29 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0082…e801backed Over | 64c | 167.19$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.19 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 60c | 130$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 230 | 61.3%141 W · 89 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbf…06d3backed Over | 66c | 95$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 46c | 87.13$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.05 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 34c | 80$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f37…0b78backed Over | 69c | 80$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Over | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Over | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Over | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 34c | 59.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Under | 31c | 44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…c36fbacked Over | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc252…0aebbacked Over | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 39c | 38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…0d47backed Over | 61c | 38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…1e3abacked Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f69…91d6backed Over | 51c | 33.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec2f…c407backed Under | 36c | 30.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb985…cf92backed Over | 66c | 22.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Galatasaray SK vs. Alanyaspor: O/U 2.5this page
- Galatasaray SK vs. Alanyaspor: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Galatasaray SK vs. Alanyaspor: O/U 1.5Over won
- Galatasaray SK vs. Alanyaspor: O/U 3.5Over won
- Galatasaray SK vs. Alanyaspor: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Alanyaspor (-1.5)Galatasaray SK won
- Spread: Alanyaspor (-2.5)Galatasaray SK won
- Spread: Galatasaray SK (-1.5)Galatasaray SK won
- Spread: Galatasaray SK (-2.5)Alanyaspor won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.