Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Galatasaray SK (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x467fa2f463b243a23be31298e7a568d1bc0e13df3f1ac1f12c18bd0c73690974
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Galatasaray SKof Galatasaray SK, Alanyaspor
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,891
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,891 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1ad…6ed7backed Alanyaspor | 50c | 1,240$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.87 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Galatasaray SK | 48c | 831.36$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.86 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Alanyaspor | 48c | 632.76$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.7 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Galatasaray SK | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Alanyaspor | 51c | 303$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.9 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ad…9e5fbacked Galatasaray SK | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Alanyaspor | 46c | 171.35$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.78 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Galatasaray SK | 49c | 166.83$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.01 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Galatasaray SK | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Galatasaray SK | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Galatasaray SK | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 187 | 49.7%93 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Galatasaray SK | 53c | 79$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed Galatasaray SK | 49c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Galatasaray SK | 50c | 54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Galatasaray SK | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 230 | 61.3%141 W · 89 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Galatasaray SK | 54c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb152…ef4cbacked Galatasaray SK | 50c | 40.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Galatasaray SK | 51c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Galatasaray SK | 54c | 34.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Alanyaspor | 51c | 30.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Galatasaray SK | 51c | 29.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2246…e958backed Alanyaspor | 51c | 27.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Galatasaray SK | 50c | 26.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Galatasaray SK | 48c | 23.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb49…f849backed Galatasaray SK | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Galatasaray SK (-1.5)this page
- Galatasaray SK vs. Alanyaspor: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Galatasaray SK vs. Alanyaspor: O/U 1.5Over won
- Galatasaray SK vs. Alanyaspor: O/U 2.5Over won
- Galatasaray SK vs. Alanyaspor: O/U 3.5Over won
- Galatasaray SK vs. Alanyaspor: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Alanyaspor (-1.5)Galatasaray SK won
- Spread: Alanyaspor (-2.5)Galatasaray SK won
- Spread: Galatasaray SK (-2.5)Alanyaspor won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.