Other European Leagues · resolved market
Galatasaray SK vs. Alanyaspor: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebfd6196568ffccacb2041c1eea4282c151104dccd8b2dd39f3c7a241a1a08fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $134,591
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $137,527
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,591 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3333…15bdbacked Over | 29c | 115,511$33,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,765.75 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Under | 69c | 35,550$24,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,009.7 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 73c | 19,993$14,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,395.33 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 76c | 13,825$10,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,310.63 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Under | 69c | 10,000$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Under | 69c | 8,587$5,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,657.98 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 73c | 8,130$5,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,194.92 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 73c | 5,905$4,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.68 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 73c | 5,240$3,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.81 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 71c | 2,705$1,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.96 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked Under | 77c | 2,320$1,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.89 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 23c | 1,437$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.48 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 25c | 1,249$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.14 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Under | 71c | 1,139$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.21 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed Under | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Under | 80c | 488.75$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.75 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 72c | 358.73$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.43 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 25c | 314.7$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.46 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…8793backed Over | 26c | 310.27$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.67 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 71c | 250$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 206 | 32%66 W · 140 L | -17.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…a506backed Under | 69c | 237$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +3,281.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4588…d206backed Under | 67c | 237$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Under | 75c | 183.36$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.84 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +8.8wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 71c | 174.57$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.63 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c6…bca7backed Over | 37c | 159.98$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 22c | 146.88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 24c | 124.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 25c | 115.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed Over | 13c | 113.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Under | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 76c | 74.3$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…2be5backed Under | 75c | 60.05$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 24c | 57.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 27c | 55.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 146 | 28.1%41 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 51c | 47.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.51 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f9…6e1dbacked Over | 25c | 41.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Under | 76c | 35.87$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 75c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Under | 75c | 26.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Under | 74c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x010b…b668backed Under | 73c | 21.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 76c | 19.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Under | 73c | 18.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…c8cebacked Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Galatasaray SK vs. Alanyaspor: O/U 4.5this page
- Galatasaray SK vs. Alanyaspor: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Galatasaray SK vs. Alanyaspor: O/U 1.5Over won
- Galatasaray SK vs. Alanyaspor: O/U 2.5Over won
- Galatasaray SK vs. Alanyaspor: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Alanyaspor (-1.5)Galatasaray SK won
- Spread: Alanyaspor (-2.5)Galatasaray SK won
- Spread: Galatasaray SK (-1.5)Galatasaray SK won
- Spread: Galatasaray SK (-2.5)Alanyaspor won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.