Bundesliga · resolved market
SV 07 Elversberg vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc505d4ed8fe07c3235984afb83bb90b993784fc5c1df10cbfb87ea55a762f2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,444
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,605
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,444 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Over | 36c | 24,066$8,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,404.05 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 64c | 8,058$5,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,134.32 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 6,644$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,919.64 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 62c | 6,164$3,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,842.04 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 64c | 3,739$2,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,402.45 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 35c | 1,505$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.23 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38b0…060cbacked Under | 64c | 1,350$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.87 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 35c | 714.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.49 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 64c | 676.67$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.07 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 41c | 636.17$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.12 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12e8…2cecbacked Under | 9c | 599.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 33c | 494.86$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.54 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…a7ecbacked Under | 64c | 309.38$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 35c | 306.12$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.1 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…d837backed Under | 10c | 270$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Over | 34c | 217.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.87 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Over | 55c | 199.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Under | 65c | 194.2$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.23 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 70c | 190.11$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.88 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 65c | 180$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Over | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 36c | 140.57$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.11 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 64c | 137.64$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.94 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 35c | 102.86$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.86 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Under | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Under | 64c | 97$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.08 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 59c | 82.26$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 86 | 65.1%56 W · 30 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 65c | 82$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 62c | 81.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.45 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Under | 65c | 77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 65c | 72.26$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.97 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Over | 35c | 65.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 67c | 60.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 209 | 57.4%120 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…29c5backed Over | 75c | 54$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x356d…f8ecbacked Over | 69c | 40.17$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Over | 37c | 39.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x529c…1809backed Under | 64c | 37.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…0d47backed Over | 41c | 37.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +6.3wins | +0.33per pick | 46cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xaedc…339bbacked Over | 59c | 36.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 63c | 32.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 51c | 32.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 381 | 51.4%196 W · 185 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…8147backed Under | 64c | 31.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Under | 64c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 225 | 62.2%140 W · 85 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x590e…6341backed Over | 72c | 29.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Under | 64c | 27.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Under | 64c | 26.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 43c | 25.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca53…195fbacked Under | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 64c | 22.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | +8.2wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 65c | 22.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 120 | 64.2%77 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf10…4902backed Under | 65c | 20.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 51c | 20.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4c…d581backed Under | 65c | 18.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6c…a67dbacked Under | 64c | 17.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SV 07 Elversberg vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 3.5this page
- SV 07 Elversberg vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SV 07 Elversberg vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 1.5Over won
- SV 07 Elversberg vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 2.5Over won
- SV 07 Elversberg vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.