Bundesliga · resolved market
SV 07 Elversberg vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5825198dbbb12a04672f2aa437d8172addfc1434c00d0632dcb9218dacecf22f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,051
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,385
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,051 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Over | 58c | 13,863$8,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,825.67 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 42c | 8,242$3,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,461.84 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 36c | 3,797$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.39 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad5c…664abacked Over | 60c | 2,510$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.76 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 42c | 2,401$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.49 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 40c | 1,811$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.45 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Under | 42c | 1,233$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 57c | 887.77$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.8 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 59c | 576.27$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.27 | 187 | 59.4%111 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 57c | 398$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.14 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 42c | 384.36$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.43 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 70c | 247.01$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.79 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Under | 43c | 245.88$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.73 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 40c | 184.53$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.81 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed Over | 58c | 183.56$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2583…30d5backed Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 42c | 125$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Under | 16c | 123.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…a91ebacked Under | 43c | 123.26$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Under | 43c | 117$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.31 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 42c | 116.82$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.16 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over | 57c | 99.1$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.61 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 42c | 98.65$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…d35fbacked Over | 57c | 87.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.75 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 60c | 83.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.68 | 209 | 57.4%120 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed Over | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 28c | 47.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -15.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 147 | 58.5%86 W · 61 L | +15.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 41c | 32.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 42c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…d7f8backed Over | 59c | 27.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Over | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 44c | 23.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Over | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SV 07 Elversberg vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 2.5this page
- SV 07 Elversberg vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SV 07 Elversberg vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 1.5Over won
- SV 07 Elversberg vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 3.5Over won
- SV 07 Elversberg vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.