TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Wrexham AFC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$392,333
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$397,675

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $392,333 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Under56c343,357$192,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192,179.213930.8%12 W · 27 L-7.7wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-39.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Over44c150,000$66,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84,00024846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over44c149,370$65,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83,647.3225551.8%132 W · 123 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over44c21,129$9,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,832.054,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c13,128$6,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,746.876,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x38b0…060cbacked Over44c7,477$3,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,187.112665.4%17 W · 9 L+5.6wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+41.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under56c6,000$3,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,357.950644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over45c4,865$2,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,675.7285048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over45c4,074$1,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,229.782,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Over44c3,333$1,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,866.4818259.3%108 W · 74 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed Over44c2,500$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,399.992050%10 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over51c2,230$1,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,095.8546943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Under3c2,196$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.885729.8%17 W · 40 L+7.6wins+0.13per pick16cpaid+160.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed Over48c1,666$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.3213565.2%88 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Over47c1,601$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.367357.5%42 W · 31 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x835c…8e3bbacked Over44c1,193$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.182556%14 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4bb…4645backed Over43c1,154$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.411450%7 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Over44c1,136$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.3614544.1%64 W · 81 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over44c1,023$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.7349254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55023258.2%135 W · 97 L+13.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over53c950.63$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.639550.5%48 W · 47 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e8d…58e3backed Over44c852.27$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.27475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+27.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Over46c800$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4326959.4%41 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over46c760.69$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.779153.8%49 W · 42 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over36c713$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.8982763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under53c700.73$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.391,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x993a…1e2fbacked Over40c634.8$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.15455.6%30 W · 24 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+27%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8cc8…9069backed Under53c562.54$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-52.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1b0…1846backed Over47c510.64$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.644271.4%30 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick72cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Under55c505.05$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.976750.7%34 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x76ca…6a3abacked Over47c469.77$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.772948.3%14 W · 15 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+26.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c7f…12d5backed Over47c377.36$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2002759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c4…359ebacked Over40c301.7$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.895959.3%35 W · 24 L+8.1wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+68%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16830149.5%149 W · 152 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over47c300$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.583459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over46c250.99$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.5323435.9%84 W · 150 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under53c246.76$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.282,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over44c229.59$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.7416024.4%39 W · 121 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-31.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee75…f59abacked Over46c217.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.383857.9%22 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Over46c212.5$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.7525348.2%122 W · 131 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over46c202.72$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.678041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over66c187.7$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.061,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Under53c180$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.419145%86 W · 105 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over32c156.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.2510939.4%43 W · 66 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d8e…3d55backed Over44c152.27$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.272365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Over46c150$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813961.5%24 W · 15 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+25.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f33…0d47backed Over40c149$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.832878.6%22 W · 6 L+9.9wins+0.35per pick43cpaid+108.5%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over51c135$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.151,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over47c135$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.5565557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over45c125$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.751,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under54c124.98$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.911,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over42c122.83$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.245056%28 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1af3…fbe3backed Over47c120$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.62040%8 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b9c…7e44backed Over43c115.47$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.822857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over47c115$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9535157.8%203 W · 148 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc990…80bbbacked Over44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.641250%6 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over47c112$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.3629259.2%173 W · 119 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1718265.9%120 W · 62 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ff0…271bbacked Over75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255362.3%33 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed Over48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528836.4%32 W · 56 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Under55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.5wins-0.26per pick50cpaid-52.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over47c90$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.727354.9%150 W · 123 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over47c90$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.732357.6%186 W · 137 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x20e0…3a5fbacked Over45c86.26$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.12862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over47c75$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7511866.1%78 W · 40 L+13.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+21.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Over46c74.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2422858.8%134 W · 94 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa295…98bcbacked Over47c73.38$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.785664.3%36 W · 20 L+5.8wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+20.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7e1a…d5a3backed Under49c70.54$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.375927.1%16 W · 43 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-54.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under47c68.71$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5149753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under53c66.07$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3316357.1%93 W · 70 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56ce…ea8dbacked Over44c64.43$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.081560%9 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over47c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.826958.4%157 W · 112 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over47c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.826158.2%152 W · 109 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over47c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.830554.8%167 W · 138 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over47c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.825456.3%143 W · 111 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over74c60$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.825553.7%137 W · 118 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over47c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.826058.5%152 W · 108 L+15.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over47c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.836758.3%214 W · 153 L+23.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over47c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.829057.9%168 W · 122 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over47c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.828255.7%157 W · 125 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over47c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.838358.2%223 W · 160 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over47c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.828359.4%168 W · 115 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over47c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.832158.6%188 W · 133 L+18.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over74c60$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.913842.8%59 W · 79 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x546e…ec0cbacked Over46c59.41$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.973458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf16…9c6fbacked Over46c58.71$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.72030%6 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc981…a53dbacked Over46c57.39$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.992751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b96…641bbacked Over44c56.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.82580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf23c…249bbacked Over45c55.54$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.55540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-30.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3027955.9%156 W · 123 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d98…84cabacked Over42c54.02$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.132540%10 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-23.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over73c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.537554.9%206 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.536259.1%214 W · 148 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Over47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.512951.2%66 W · 63 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over73c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.537958%220 W · 159 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Over47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.59554.7%52 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3991…b6c7backed Over47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.59152.7%48 W · 43 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfabc…a31bbacked Over47c49.1$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.231662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+20.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b35…768ebacked Under60c46.68$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.983754.1%20 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaed4…4cc9backed Under55c46.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.431346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.