Premier League · resolved market
Wrexham AFC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ac662b9d2c8722c1bc4b6d92f8a1778aa1084b611d711009f58efd28dda289d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,425
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,422
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,425 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 79c | 4,397$3,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.62 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 18c | 1,299$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.7 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 74c | 1,241$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.67 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 19c | 1,112$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.42 | 160 | 24.4%39 W · 121 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 26c | 1,006$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.39 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48d7…1bd1backed Over | 17c | 891.17$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 25c | 660.12$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 135 | 65.2%88 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 75c | 466.66$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.66 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 20c | 379.2$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.84 | 239 | 26.4%63 W · 176 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 70c | 368.37$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.29 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a42…2a7ebacked Over | 25c | 323.87$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 23c | 288$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.24 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…fbe3backed Over | 24c | 245$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Over | 26c | 158.12$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.11 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Over | 21c | 123.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +68%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 77c | 114.76$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.21 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…eacebacked Over | 13c | 90$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -54%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 23c | 81.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Over | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 208 | 64.9%135 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x529c…1809backed Over | 24c | 71.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 25c | 66.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed Under | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 21c | 47.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 410 | 40.5%166 W · 244 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 74c | 42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 37c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 408 | 21.8%89 W · 319 L | -53.7wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…cd06backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 67c | 15.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wrexham AFC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Portsmouth FC (-1.5)Wrexham AFC won
- Spread: Portsmouth FC (-2.5)Wrexham AFC won
- Spread: Wrexham AFC (-1.5)Portsmouth FC won
- Spread: Wrexham AFC (-2.5)Portsmouth FC won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Portsmouth FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.