TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$217,041
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$217,596

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $217,041 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0792…b778backed Over54c136,658$73,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73,477.092740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Under47c31,934$15,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,924.97666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+29.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c30,816$15,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,665.411,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Under47c23,404$11,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,404.261163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+30.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under45c17,574$7,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,665.611,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under47c13,014$6,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,892.1121144.5%94 W · 117 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c9,392$4,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,933.3862648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under45c7,676$3,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,242.2587344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Under47c7,265$3,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,850.661855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over53c4,999$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,649.6212839.8%51 W · 77 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe03d…7208backed Over54c4,074$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3bb…8b3ebacked Over53c3,962$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5905060%30 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+28.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Under49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0201471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+39.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under48c1,746$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.1215048.7%73 W · 77 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Over54c1,574$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8503231.3%10 W · 22 L-5.6wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-34.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under47c1,503$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.0729949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under44c1,500$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8356553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under46c1,413$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.0419055.8%106 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Over45c1,223$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.44728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed Under47c1,200$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6362245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed Over53c1,155$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.154755.3%26 W · 21 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6203…5544backed Under44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5601163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+44.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Over53c949.06$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5031668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f9e…4c57backed Over28c892.86$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501921.1%4 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick25cpaid+203%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over30c830$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2491910.5%2 W · 17 L-4.1wins-0.22per pick32cpaid-74.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under48c725$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3783551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Under64c638.23$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.76862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under56c615.83$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.3224052.9%127 W · 113 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b22…a210backed Over51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over48c519.02$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2508254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb5…d643backed Over52c501.92$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2613729.7%11 W · 26 L-8.5wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-42.8%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over25c448$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1125729.8%17 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Under46c427.05$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.616334.9%22 W · 41 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under49c401.6$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.8748649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Over53c327.53$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.591127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-38.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over52c315.92$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.288333.7%28 W · 55 L+0.3wins0.00per pick33cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Under41c300$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1774050%20 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc101…98edbacked Over47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under55c271.11$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.6859348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under46c250$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1355547.3%26 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46cf…42eabacked Over47c246.24$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.54633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-41.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over31c241.94$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759920.2%20 W · 79 L-10.4wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-28.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006842.6%29 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under47c225$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.2510948.6%53 W · 56 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Over47c213.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Under48c209.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.853231.3%10 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-33.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e1a…d5a3backed Over32c209.11$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.542128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1a6…afa6backed Under48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.33650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.31862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd829…d60ebacked Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Under48c191.4$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.537138%27 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over53c190.26$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004843.8%21 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under47c180$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.49158.2%53 W · 38 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Under72c173.67$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.631553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over51c168.63$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under47c150$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.59752.6%51 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Under48c150$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786549.2%32 W · 33 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd164…f17bbacked Under75c148.19$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.05580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked Under47c137.04$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.065851.7%30 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Under47c128$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.8412050.8%61 W · 59 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over31c125.81$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398729.9%26 W · 61 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under47c120$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.610653.8%57 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under47c120$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.67655.3%42 W · 34 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under46c118.48$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9813144.3%58 W · 73 L-0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2734…22efbacked Under48c112.19$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.93366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+47.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ba0…e885backed Over51c111.53$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.88944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Over53c110.98$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.822334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-32.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under48c108.65$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.54151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Over47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under52c104.26$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9317251.2%88 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc884…a4e6backed Over54c101.85$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514438.6%17 W · 27 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick28cpaid+20.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Under47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536150.8%31 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3922340.8%91 W · 132 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Under47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535451.9%28 W · 26 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6516…dfdabacked Over53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-30.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Under54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+30.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under47c96.7$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.779256.5%52 W · 40 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over53c94.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9926550.6%134 W · 131 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38ee…c430backed Over58c91$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over62c90$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.85750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c16…c36fbacked Over31c90$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281822.2%4 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under47c88.51$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.918858%51 W · 37 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over52c84.62$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4411044.5%49 W · 61 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under47c84$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5245233.6%152 W · 300 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over46c81.61$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.541833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8750…0841backed Over53c80.38$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.61060%6 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over42c71.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306245.2%28 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f33…0d47backed Over49c70.62$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.94966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+91.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfa03…45e9backed Over53c64$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacbc…f6bfbacked Over54c62.78$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+59.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88ff…5102backed Over40c62.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+28.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.266755.2%37 W · 30 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Under47c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.87857.7%45 W · 33 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over62c60$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.28856.8%50 W · 38 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x25ef…8e6fbacked Over54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under47c52.73$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9510545.7%48 W · 57 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over62c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3111256.3%63 W · 49 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Under47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.510158.4%59 W · 42 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.