Ligue 1 · resolved market
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6daced8aa1dd0ed42af405758d4bd31850c12e41319c12c72061deb7fc051502
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,387
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,041
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,387 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf053…3939backed Under | 64c | 6,080$3,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,188.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 77c | 2,560$1,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,976.8 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 62c | 2,541$1,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,563.77 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x138d…3bd4backed Under | 29c | 1,521$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +156.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 71c | 1,405$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 22c | 1,132$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.45 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 18c | 943.39$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.42 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 56c | 922.35$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.41 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 30c | 894.14$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.5 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 33c | 835.08$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.8 | 150 | 48.7%73 W · 77 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Over | 77c | 814.41$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.61 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 79c | 700$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49a1…41cbbacked Over | 79c | 408.8$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Over | 62c | 334.28$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.8 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +203%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked Under | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 41cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 46c | 279.21$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.23 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 24c | 250$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 73c | 220.5$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.21 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Over | 14c | 181.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 45c | 156.18$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.96 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed Under | 66c | 151.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.71 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 24c | 111.88$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.07 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 223 | 40.8%91 W · 132 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7c…4394backed Over | 53c | 85.32$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…3ed5backed Under | 68c | 85.29$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecc6…a1c4backed Over | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 27c | 76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.34 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…84c5backed Over | 76c | 75.43$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.33 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc4…c8e5backed Over | 66c | 75.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 42c | 72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c5…0d72backed Under | 32c | 71.47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68d…a292backed Over | 78c | 66.32$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.73 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 77c | 64.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Over | 75c | 63.11$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.46 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x164c…3e39backed Under | 21c | 63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.77 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…1646backed Over | 77c | 59.74$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 39c | 55.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 37c | 40.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 49c | 36.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…af03backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 47c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 77c | 27.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 117 | 53.8%63 W · 54 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Over | 75c | 27.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69f6…4288backed Over | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -4.4wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d1…5557backed Over | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 67cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 54c | 23.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x101a…a4d2backed Under | 68c | 18.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)Toulouse FC won
- Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-2.5)Toulouse FC won
- Spread: Toulouse FC (-2.5)Stade Rennais FC 1901 won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Toulouse FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.