Ligue 1 · resolved market
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Toulouse FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9817e7f1b1491599ecff129ba4d1dcf35a3ce32429a22c31a2447f4378bed588
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,735
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,966
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,735 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 1,196$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.83 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 45c | 660$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Yes | 33c | 433.33$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +203%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd760…8e82backed No | 43c | 385.65$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 48c | 329.03$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.52 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x093a…1b3fbacked No | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd631…fff8backed Yes | 15c | 206.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 49c | 202.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 25.6%30 W · 87 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 23c | 164.24$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.03 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f60…9c5cbacked No | 78c | 156.22$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x533c…eb85backed Yes | 57c | 134.44$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a5…56f3backed Yes | 57c | 127.41$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee0…bf55backed Yes | 57c | 123.8$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…5102backed Yes | 39c | 120.49$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 57c | 87.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 43c | 51.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 57c | 50.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5c…7b2bbacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5730…891ebacked Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 43c | 24.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b3…3e3bbacked Yes | 58c | 18.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Toulouse FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)Toulouse FC won
- Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-2.5)Toulouse FC won
- Spread: Toulouse FC (-2.5)Stade Rennais FC 1901 won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.