South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-02-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x329210600fbf6300c94a3e8c2daccf8e29392b99e5364fd0afc4b3f82f67e91d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,922
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,721
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,922 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 47c | 8,112$3,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,785.42 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 67c | 2,721$1,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.23 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 59c | 2,706$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.54 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed No | 19c | 1,101$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.19 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 27c | 955.3$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.91 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Yes | 60c | 944.24$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.75 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 21c | 888.83$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.14 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 15c | 837.59$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.64 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed No | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 10c | 547.85$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.61 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 39c | 528.33$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.01 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…5c2ebacked No | 3c | 470.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…86abbacked Yes | 60c | 416.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23de…05c1backed Yes | 50c | 321.73$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.73 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e74…93bcbacked Yes | 61c | 300.19$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.19 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 60c | 300$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 35c | 286.07$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.19 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2547…8a63backed Yes | 48c | 270.83$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Yes | 56c | 199.84$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.93 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 61c | 165.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.19 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 14c | 100.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.79 | 175 | 42.3%74 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 19c | 92.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked No | 16c | 85.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 21c | 79.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 48c | 75.85$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.49 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 58c | 66.36$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.66 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 58c | 64.19$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…2aa7backed No | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 59c | 55.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 201 | 42.3%85 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Yes | 62c | 54.84$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +6.4wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 40c | 52.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…d6edbacked Yes | 47c | 42.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d4…f7dcbacked Yes | 80c | 36.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xede4…90c4backed Yes | 59c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdea…c050backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc69a…e9f7backed Yes | 51c | 31.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…9e5fbacked Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 39c | 30.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed No | 49c | 28.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed No | 41c | 24.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x529c…1809backed Yes | 50c | 24.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…0d47backed Yes | 45c | 23.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.25per pick | 44cpaid | +78%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 58c | 21.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Yes | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41d7…7c97backed Yes | 53c | 20.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…6583backed Yes | 61c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-02-20?this page
- Will CA Sarmiento win on 2026-02-20?No won
- Will Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CA Sarmiento end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.