Asian League · resolved market
Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb407a57bb927603f0381cf5c751e251839f9aeaeaba63d3979fc05cbf3ac767
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,979
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,241
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,979 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb6b…b0b9backed Under | 71c | 346.9$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.3 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 57c | 227.25$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.56 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 31c | 226.29$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.51 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +5.1wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -13.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 57c | 197.94$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.15 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 39c | 125$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…0d47backed Over | 32c | 115.1$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.54 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 43c | 104.04$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.74 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -11.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Over | 29c | 61.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.85 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 56.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 62c | 46.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 60c | 36.7$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Hazem SC (-1.5)Al Nassr Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Hazem SC (-2.5)Al Nassr Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Nassr Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.