Asian League · resolved market
Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9248305c6ad79ff31da5a32883fdaae5632fa9d7cb7d13c09d44d68fa22f7be2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $215,786
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $216,466
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $215,786 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 57c | 189,023$107,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81,200.01 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Over | 43c | 174,972$75,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,237.97 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 43c | 20,894$9,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,058.83 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Under | 57c | 17,466$9,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,569.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Over | 41c | 15,313$6,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,325.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 5,689$3,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,282.54 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 43c | 555.01$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.8 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6b…b0b9backed Under | 60c | 501.75$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.72 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Over | 39c | 450$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.30per pick | 39cpaid | +96%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 42c | 205.03$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.02 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 57c | 138.2$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.62 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 44c | 128.22$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.84 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 46c | 126$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.95 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 60c | 107.82$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…8afebacked Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf680…2c59backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 34c | 89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e5…1f2fbacked Under | 57c | 88.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Under | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Over | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…a53dbacked Over | 46c | 65.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Under | 62c | 64.46$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 51c | 63.9$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.31 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -11.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 33c | 56.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 50c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3323…4a2abacked Over | 52c | 49.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…0d47backed Over | 54c | 44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 33c | 41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Under | 52c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 53c | 36.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 42c | 35.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Under | 58c | 26.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c2…63f7backed Under | 56c | 20.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 4.5this page
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Al Hazem SC (-1.5)Al Nassr Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Hazem SC (-2.5)Al Nassr Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Nassr Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.