Other European Leagues · resolved market
Kayserispor vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb68d7f08a2e84f83b74955186eb56d75ed56f46feddd06a607d990f57ad839bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,353
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,353 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 2,935$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.45 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 50c | 2,135$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.5 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Under | 46c | 669.69$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 55cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 67c | 595.28$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.23 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 40c | 454.64$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.03 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 41c | 326.46$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.85 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56a0…ba20backed Under | 10c | 309.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 54c | 280.4$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.98 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Over | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Over | 60c | 167.19$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.34 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 227 | 27.8%63 W · 164 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 46c | 124.81$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.41 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Under | 13c | 100.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 124 | 26.6%33 W · 91 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f49…b482backed Over | 54c | 83.33$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 46c | 83.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.33 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Over | 70c | 81.09$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.67 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 34c | 79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x403d…2709backed Under | 59c | 74.93$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed Over | 56c | 71.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 59c | 56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 46c | 55.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…0d47backed Over | 36c | 51.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.19 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Over | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Under | 42c | 47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 41c | 42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…dd36backed Under | 46c | 38.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…736dbacked Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 56c | 32.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 43c | 30.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f0…6a42backed Over | 53c | 30.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6276…c142backed Over | 54c | 30.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…b766backed Over | 54c | 29.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 45c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe851…9471backed Over | 76c | 26.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Over | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e14…bc35backed Over | 42c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 52c | 23.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…61c0backed Over | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kayserispor vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 2.5this page
- Kayserispor vs. Trabzonspor: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Kayserispor vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 1.5Over won
- Kayserispor vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 3.5Over won
- Kayserispor vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Kayserispor (-1.5)Trabzonspor won
- Spread: Trabzonspor (-1.5)Trabzonspor won
- Spread: Trabzonspor (-2.5)Kayserispor won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.