Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Trabzonspor (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c70d0d4a2deb9f956ebb415056101cf102f32553a860bafc7604a10bcb2f881
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trabzonsporof Trabzonspor, Kayserispor
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,003
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,003 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Kayserispor | 73c | 1,995$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.51 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kayserispor | 65c | 1,751$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.38 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Trabzonspor | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.84 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbb…c561backed Trabzonspor | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Trabzonspor | 71c | 894.9$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.97 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Trabzonspor | 27c | 572.12$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.97 | 124 | 26.6%33 W · 91 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4db9…14f5backed Kayserispor | 53c | 568.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a75…4bb1backed Trabzonspor | 38c | 286.71$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Kayserispor | 75c | 271.14$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.36 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Trabzonspor | 38c | 264.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.21 | 227 | 27.8%63 W · 164 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Kayserispor | 74c | 200$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…1f26backed Trabzonspor | 50c | 191.05$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +127%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Trabzonspor | 26c | 150$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…949cbacked Trabzonspor | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Trabzonspor | 45c | 101$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.55 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Trabzonspor | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.72 | 187 | 49.7%93 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Trabzonspor | 69c | 96.35$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.45 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Trabzonspor | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72e3…a8cabacked Kayserispor | 73c | 76.68$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.69 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Trabzonspor | 27c | 73.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.8 | 101 | 35.6%36 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed Trabzonspor | 50c | 70.26$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.38 | 94 | 38.3%36 W · 58 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Kayserispor | 75c | 54.71$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.03 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Kayserispor | 75c | 52.84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.37 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Trabzonspor | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcff1…f8debacked Trabzonspor | 26c | 46.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc252…0aebbacked Trabzonspor | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Kayserispor | 75c | 29.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd0…31c9backed Kayserispor | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2f…a3d8backed Kayserispor | 75c | 21.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e24…24fbbacked Kayserispor | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbc…f313backed Kayserispor | 75c | 19.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Trabzonspor (-1.5)this page
- Kayserispor vs. Trabzonspor: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Kayserispor vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 1.5Over won
- Kayserispor vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 2.5Over won
- Kayserispor vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 3.5Over won
- Kayserispor vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Kayserispor (-1.5)Trabzonspor won
- Spread: Trabzonspor (-2.5)Kayserispor won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.