South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Tigre vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeea95a251fc68e8d20d654e34581c7dbbe1e64239f326c652696ec1ef1d27918
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,106
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,106 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 3,992$1,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,851.1 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 43c | 2,409$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.6 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 56c | 2,288$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.82 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4922…34a7backed Over | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 57c | 1,742$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.01 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 43c | 1,349$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.83 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 56c | 1,100$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.99 | 100 | 69%69 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 57c | 934.39$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.21 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46cf…42eabacked Over | 58c | 658.41$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 47c | 553.08$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.91 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 52c | 481.71$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.71 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8af…44dcbacked Over | 58c | 374.14$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.14 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Under | 42c | 236.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.81 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 59c | 236.68$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.55 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 58c | 206.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.9 | 166 | 56%93 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 57c | 195.87$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.22 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Under | 42c | 187.05$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.56 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 55c | 140$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 43c | 134.64$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.9 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32df…cce8backed Under | 44c | 113.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 37c | 75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…10c3backed Under | 42c | 72.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.37 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 57c | 70$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 42c | 69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Over | 57c | 68.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.65 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 43c | 67.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…768ebacked Under | 44c | 61.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 75c | 59.93$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 79 | 73.4%58 W · 21 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 56c | 55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed Under | 27c | 52.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x562e…922bbacked Over | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 56c | 51.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.74 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 44c | 51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Under | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 93 | 63.4%59 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 53c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 108 | 62%67 W · 41 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 44c | 46.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3d…f902backed Under | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 47c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Over | 66c | 40.45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…0d47backed Over | 58c | 39.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.25per pick | 44cpaid | +78%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 75c | 38.62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Under | 44c | 36.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Over | 67c | 36.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…9111backed Under | 44c | 36.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed Over | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…8a52backed Under | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd0…31c9backed Under | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…44e8backed Under | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Over | 69c | 33.62$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…988dbacked Over | 78c | 30.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 40 | 75%30 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 56c | 30.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd12…4894backed Over | 57c | 30.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…7759backed Under | 43c | 28.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…c67dbacked Under | 45c | 27.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…f943backed Under | 44c | 26.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa14b…3835backed Over | 57c | 23.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…61c0backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Over | 76c | 19.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Tigre vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Tigre vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Tigre vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Tigre vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Tigre vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Tigre (-2.5)CA Vélez Sarsfield won
- Spread: CA Vélez Sarsfield (-1.5)CA Tigre won
- Spread: CA Vélez Sarsfield (-2.5)CA Tigre won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.