Other European Leagues · resolved market
Gaziantep FK vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4549d2998379fdb9b8402dbfdaeb5f138e3bd270125f9786dcdf512f4050faf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,948
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,640
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,948 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 5,269$2,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,320.18 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x524b…49acbacked Over | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 35c | 1,177$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.42 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 58c | 919.35$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.12 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 56c | 900$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…8793backed Over | 23c | 349.28$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.97 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Under | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 53c | 220$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.4 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…0d47backed Over | 47c | 192.3$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.38 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 40c | 126.66$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.41 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 22c | 119.27$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x590e…6341backed Over | 67c | 81.43$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa5…a516backed Over | 63c | 79.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…7df5backed Over | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 35c | 77.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3a…265ebacked Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaedc…339bbacked Over | 63c | 65.73$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 55c | 64.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.74 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8624…768cbacked Over | 55c | 53.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 59c | 53$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 45c | 52.37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6c…a67dbacked Under | 49c | 52.23$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…df3fbacked Over | 57c | 51.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228c…035ebacked Over | 59c | 50.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c6…6d67backed Under | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…683fbacked Over | 66c | 46.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdabc…6b4fbacked Over | 31c | 43.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 71c | 32.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15b8…89e4backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 60c | 17.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gaziantep FK vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 4.5this page
- Gaziantep FK vs. Trabzonspor: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Gaziantep FK vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gaziantep FK vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 2.5Over won
- Gaziantep FK vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Gaziantep FK (-1.5)Trabzonspor won
- Spread: Trabzonspor (-1.5)Gaziantep FK won
- Spread: Trabzonspor (-2.5)Gaziantep FK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.