Other European Leagues · resolved market
Gaziantep FK vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f6ae47dac71d6244b5a3b7682bb1caaba032714f0a8be3a4a56cec0902dfbcb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,964
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,232
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,964 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 44c | 1,080$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.28 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 889.97$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.19 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…6ba6backed Over | 56c | 551.79$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 43c | 403.6$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.87 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 53c | 360.05$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.09 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 51c | 286.59$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.43 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 56c | 216.41$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.38 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb672…456fbacked Over | 45c | 175.07$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.73 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Over | 44c | 155.7$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.19 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…d35fbacked Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…fbe3backed Over | 56c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Over | 52c | 71.15$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 44c | 63.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 43c | 55.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…ee4dbacked Under | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa12c…b9ecbacked Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9d…8ce0backed Over | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9c…0aa3backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 42c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 44c | 23.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc96…e37cbacked Over | 57c | 21.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cae…db7fbacked Over | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe410…a392backed Over | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gaziantep FK vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 2.5this page
- Gaziantep FK vs. Trabzonspor: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Gaziantep FK vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gaziantep FK vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 3.5Under won
- Gaziantep FK vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Gaziantep FK (-1.5)Trabzonspor won
- Spread: Trabzonspor (-1.5)Gaziantep FK won
- Spread: Trabzonspor (-2.5)Gaziantep FK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.