Other European Leagues · resolved market
Gaziantep FK vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2adcf90b0eb76fadf8e21b760e6dfb484f7ed9512c1dd43ad21c22106f4476c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,397
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,605
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,397 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 3,828$1,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,915.06 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa128…8d4bbacked Over | 78c | 2,562$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 71cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 35c | 1,488$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.17 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 33c | 1,164$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.35 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 76c | 1,085$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.5 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 22c | 929.37$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.68 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 54c | 596.58$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.33 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2109…55bfbacked Over | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 50c | 198.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.82 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 33c | 181.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 45c | 169.37$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.22 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…fbe3backed Over | 33c | 152$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ad…9e5fbacked Over | 20c | 131$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddc…086dbacked Over | 65c | 130$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.5 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Over | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8aa…20f6backed Over | 41c | 122$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x468d…cf23backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25cb…f1d3backed Over | 67c | 80.66$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3a…265ebacked Over | 75c | 76.89$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.67 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 67c | 74.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 52c | 59.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Over | 70c | 50.93$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -5.6wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…e1b2backed Over | 41c | 37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 66c | 25.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 140 | 71.4%100 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 56c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gaziantep FK vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 3.5this page
- Gaziantep FK vs. Trabzonspor: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Gaziantep FK vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gaziantep FK vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 2.5Over won
- Gaziantep FK vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Gaziantep FK (-1.5)Trabzonspor won
- Spread: Trabzonspor (-1.5)Gaziantep FK won
- Spread: Trabzonspor (-2.5)Gaziantep FK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.