Asian League · resolved market
Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10e923d86bd401b3c4a8dedc7c1e81365a13f3911b5fdca2a357f748d8d0bf38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,564
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,198
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,564 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 2,278$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.29 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 41c | 1,364$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.25 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5858…dc6bbacked Over | 55c | 980$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 58c | 610.15$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.61 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 46c | 318.94$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.84 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 62c | 318.68$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.18 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Under | 43c | 312.5$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.38 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 47c | 295.61$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.41 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa42…2ff3backed Under | 25c | 265$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.25 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Over | 57c | 249.53$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.3 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.30per pick | 39cpaid | +96%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 53c | 173.84$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.3 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 56c | 160.71$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.71 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 41c | 139.37$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.41 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.6wins | -0.24per pick | 45cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…0d47backed Over | 47c | 133.82$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.1 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 59c | 107.02$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.07 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 58c | 104.3$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.72 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -11.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 59c | 82.76$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.06 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 43c | 81.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9df0…9a65backed Under | 44c | 79.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.93 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Over | 45c | 75.7$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 63c | 72.68$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 48c | 66.56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 51c | 60.94$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +5.1wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 55c | 44.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…22b6backed Over | 40c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed Over | 65c | 32.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 35c | 31.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 43c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Under | 45c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 54c | 22.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Al Ahli Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Ahli Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Ahli Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Ahli Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Najmah Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Ahli Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Najmah Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Ahli Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.