Premier League · resolved market
Sunderland AFC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79cbddc16615e9b3865fe02900107a0e73bacfeb75f32617f2eb000dfb9ebb23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,729
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,366
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,729 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 3,493$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 71c | 2,111$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.19 | 135 | 65.2%88 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 42c | 1,240$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.98 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 29c | 1,195$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.71 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…e4efbacked Over | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Over | 42c | 959.99$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 55c | 443.54$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.8 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 171 | 61.4%105 W · 66 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 27c | 355.7$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.04 | 120 | 20.8%25 W · 95 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Over | 71c | 352.11$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.11 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Over | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 46c | 216.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.09 | 144 | 63.9%92 W · 52 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 71c | 211.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.27 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Over | 46c | 200$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 35c | 198.16$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.69 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 41c | 182.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.93 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c30…0ac6backed Under | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 40c | 174.84$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.28 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 286 | 54.2%155 W · 131 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 50c | 155.98$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.99 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0082…e801backed Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…0d47backed Over | 35c | 128.2$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.85 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +9.9wins | +0.35per pick | 43cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 67c | 110.36$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.42 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 379 | 58%220 W · 159 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed Over | 66c | 75.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…b7e9backed Under | 28c | 71.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Over | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 29c | 63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x595f…9d4dbacked Over | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Over | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 63c | 49.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a93…36babacked Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0a…a693backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd520…09a1backed Over | 71c | 42.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.31per pick | 58cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc460…0aa4backed Over | 42c | 40.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 255 | 53.7%137 W · 118 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0247…bb07backed Over | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…a082backed Over | 73c | 31.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Over | 69c | 30.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea1…df66backed Over | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 71c | 28.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 119 | 69.7%83 W · 36 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507a…be1fbacked Over | 61c | 25.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2909…c95cbacked Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6f…5a01backed Over | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 75cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c1…cc94backed Over | 73c | 14.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 71c | 14.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed Over | 70c | 14.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.36 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sunderland AFC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Sunderland AFC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.