Premier League · resolved market
Sunderland AFC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1b73fc82dd20d40237cef29e3996e2a09e0e1fb6d104341c1dc04bc7fa7255b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,068
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,619
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,068 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 23c | 2,017$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543.69 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 7c | 1,361$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.23 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 22c | 1,250$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970 | 120 | 20.8%25 W · 95 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…7300backed Under | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 24c | 899.71$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.78 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 23c | 600$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 135 | 65.2%88 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e8…8745backed Over | 41c | 447.57$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 76c | 396.69$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.92 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 77c | 300$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 108 | 74.1%80 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c41…18edbacked Under | 78c | 294.81$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.8 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 52c | 220$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.62 | 210 | 49%103 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Over | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.39 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over | 24c | 206.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.76 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Over | 48c | 181$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.48 | 70 | 82.9%58 W · 12 L | +14.5wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x70b9…cea8backed Under | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc34…799dbacked Over | 25c | 120$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 45c | 111.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.36 | 208 | 64.9%135 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…0170backed Over | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 85 | 16.5%14 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0441…677abacked Over | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +63%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 17c | 90.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.55 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 77c | 64.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 48c | 49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 36c | 46.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Under | 77c | 30.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 74c | 26.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sunderland AFC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Sunderland AFC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.