La Liga · resolved market
Córdoba CF vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50658cbaec7f06b003b73aadd5eaab536b24b1011b7f41f4a364e02e3f309017
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,953
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,600
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,953 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790 | 126 | 26.2%33 W · 93 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 71c | 964.03$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.54 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 39c | 507.72$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.5 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…a2d6backed Over | 74c | 500$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.11 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +5.5wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 48c | 470.36$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.09 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 17c | 400$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Under | 52c | 396$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.98 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f1…2867backed Under | 55c | 304.21$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 60c | 294.91$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.95 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…0d47backed Over | 40c | 216$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.65 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 38c | 213$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.06 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…f862backed Over | 36c | 199.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…bbf0backed Over | 17c | 149.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.5 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Over | 17c | 138.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.53 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 60c | 96.58$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.49 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe856…4711backed Over | 17c | 68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.44 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +89%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3a…d490backed Over | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…8a52backed Over | 48c | 54.39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.55 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +5.9wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed Over | 30c | 49.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.68 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7700…2d07backed Over | 31c | 48.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.9 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Over | 74c | 47.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 80 | 75%60 W · 20 L | +13.9wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 49c | 42.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 51c | 34.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 174 | 55.2%96 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb4…9854backed Under | 64c | 33.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +291.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Córdoba CF vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5this page
- Córdoba CF vs. FC Andorra: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Córdoba CF vs. FC Andorra: O/U 1.5Over won
- Córdoba CF vs. FC Andorra: O/U 2.5Over won
- Córdoba CF vs. FC Andorra: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Córdoba CF (-1.5)FC Andorra won
- Spread: FC Andorra (-1.5)FC Andorra won
- Spread: FC Andorra (-2.5)FC Andorra won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.