Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will SC Heerenveen win on 2026-03-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x416f7461553299376d9d8a2f36a9f9a9f389b3679542a84afd6e910b316cad76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,744
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,744 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 66c | 2,147$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.88 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 48c | 1,876$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.17 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 67c | 1,340$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.57 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 41c | 1,256$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.08 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Yes | 64c | 866$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.76 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 33c | 784.31$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.43 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 60c | 621.57$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.13 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 41c | 526.91$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.88 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 27c | 489.53$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.17 | 101 | 21.8%22 W · 79 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 5c | 447.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4922…34a7backed No | 21c | 400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 22c | 372.42$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.89 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 58c | 354.19$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.1 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 60c | 352.49$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.9 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 60c | 215$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 58c | 210$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.8 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 11c | 192.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…0d47backed Yes | 45c | 186.8$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.49 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked No | 28c | 160$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 59c | 156.27$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.75 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 16c | 142.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked No | 59c | 133.08$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.06 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed No | 31c | 132.39$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…b7dbbacked Yes | 64c | 109.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c30…0ac6backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…3377backed No | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 22c | 63.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes | 40c | 50.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.01 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 54c | 42.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 59c | 41.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 47c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…f0e8backed Yes | 45c | 36.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +124.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 57c | 33.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b4…570cbacked Yes | 43c | 33.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 39c | 32.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 78c | 32.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 41c | 30.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.79 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed Yes | 69c | 29.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc194…f69fbacked Yes | 40c | 29.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…770ebacked Yes | 40c | 29.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf038…e718backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1e…945cbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…fe90backed Yes | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 70c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Heerenveen win on 2026-03-07?this page
- Will SBV Excelsior vs. SC Heerenveen end in a draw?No won
- Will SBV Excelsior win on 2026-03-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.