Asian League · resolved market
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-02-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe915deec6e3140bd1dd118e3b505a3b1ef8d566348b4ec305d2ba981475132bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,724
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,559
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,724 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 45c | 3,311$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,821.1 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 1,856$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.76 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed No | 55c | 1,344$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 59c | 1,227$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.17 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e85…443ebacked No | 55c | 999.76$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.87 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…db9dbacked No | 15c | 964.81$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 45c | 899.4$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.67 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 55c | 881.97$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.08 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…926ebacked Yes | 45c | 599.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 18c | 526.81$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.53 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 3c | 497.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 55c | 486.61$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.38 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked No | 55c | 337.53$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.64 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed No | 55c | 335.61$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.59 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Yes | 42c | 285.71$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Yes | 42c | 241.05$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 55c | 162.6$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.93 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…cd16backed Yes | 40c | 159$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.4 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Yes | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed No | 55c | 143.09$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.7 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 48c | 131.29$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.37 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 39c | 129.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.54 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4913…d01bbacked No | 55c | 127.26$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 55c | 125.22$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.44 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked No | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Yes | 41c | 122.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.07 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac5e…87d1backed Yes | 42c | 119.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 56c | 70.17$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.18 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Yes | 45c | 67.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.89 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed No | 55c | 53.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Yes | 48c | 41.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +5.1wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcc83…696ebacked Yes | 80c | 40.66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed No | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0630…9368backed Yes | 43c | 26.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…0d47backed Yes | 48c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed No | 55c | 20.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 62cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 55c | 19.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 57c | 17.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…45e9backed Yes | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Seoul win on 2026-02-28?this page
- Will Incheon United FC vs. FC Seoul end in a draw?No won
- Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-02-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.