Mls · resolved market
Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bf3851b554bc04199213acc762556558230179c3f5a863ebe810cc8fe59e0d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,338
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,391
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,338 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 18c | 1,440$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.05 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 26c | 705.53$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.2 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 70c | 407.98$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.27 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 41c | 395.95$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.9 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b9…8714backed Over | 73c | 359.94$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.46 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 69c | 326.09$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 13c | 325$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.75 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed Under | 20c | 266$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.8 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 31c | 204.09$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.92 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 57c | 175.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 67c | 150$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 46c | 142.37$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.4 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…b7e9backed Under | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 44c | 118.06$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.75 | 259 | 34.4%89 W · 170 L | -28.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | +13.1wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 75c | 72.2$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 76cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6321…62bbbacked Over | 47c | 55.34$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 54c | 53.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 68c | 53.07$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 33c | 49.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Over | 57c | 43.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…0d47backed Over | 57c | 43.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Over | 54c | 43.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc8…8caebacked Over | 59c | 26.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Real Salt Lake (-1.5)Vancouver Whitecaps FC won
- Spread: Real Salt Lake (-2.5)Vancouver Whitecaps FC won
- Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5)Real Salt Lake won
- Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-2.5)Real Salt Lake won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Real Salt Lake: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 2.5Under won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 3.5Under won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.