Other European Leagues · resolved market
Kayserispor vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54172f9e0090ca14c6cf84385fd1fc3658ddd95db217e271f9bedd87a6d829cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $182,552
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $182,552 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed Under | 52c | 90,244$46,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,397.83 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Over | 49c | 16,707$8,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,219.35 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 45c | 13,296$5,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,942.1 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Over | 48c | 11,912$5,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,758.5 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5447…1236backed Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c34…e260backed Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 48c | 6,430$3,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,101.31 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 48c | 5,995$2,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,872.15 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 49c | 5,730$2,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,818.25 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Under | 52c | 5,666$2,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,719.8 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Over | 49c | 5,594$2,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,758.9 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…9312backed Over | 51c | 3,926$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 53cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 47c | 3,404$1,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,607.78 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 38c | 3,248$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.94 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 3,067$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.38 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Under | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 52c | 2,910$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.64 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b93…e941backed Over | 50c | 2,799$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.61 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Over | 49c | 2,246$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.69 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 49c | 2,169$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.05 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Over | 53c | 1,628$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.76 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…172fbacked Over | 47c | 1,497$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x092e…c685backed Over | 47c | 1,280$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Over | 37c | 1,142$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.1 | 109 | 20.2%22 W · 87 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Over | 47c | 1,119$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.12 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Over | 33c | 1,015$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.03 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da7…17aabacked Over | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…7a18backed Over | 48c | 549.79$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.4 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 53c | 499.99$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…0263backed Over | 51c | 471.8$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.23 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Over | 22c | 469.32$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.25 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Under | 48c | 450$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Over | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Over | 49c | 393.88$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7437…3ebebacked Over | 8c | 386.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over | 48c | 355.21$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.5 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed Under | 55c | 327.27$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.27 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf277…9a5fbacked Over | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 52c | 316.78$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.79 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 54c | 287.77$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.58 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…dd27backed Over | 53c | 268.43$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb431…b654backed Over | 54c | 256.48$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 48c | 239.65$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.21 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 38c | 195.92$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.81 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Over | 52c | 193.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.16 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f1…b99dbacked Under | 53c | 185.38$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -46%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba6c…20e3backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 47c | 180$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.6 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 51c | 176.47$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…d1b7backed Over | 55c | 148.09$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.45 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 47c | 139.2$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.42 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…1ab4backed Over | 34c | 138.7$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 49c | 131.27$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.85 | 86 | 65.1%56 W · 30 L | +11.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 47c | 125$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.25 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c5…0d72backed Under | 77c | 114.25$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x562e…922bbacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 46c | 101.85$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.28 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Under | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x400e…374bbacked Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.88 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd754…7857backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ce…286abacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 48c | 98.47$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.28 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d8…cffcbacked Under | 79c | 94.94$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…7eeabacked Under | 80c | 86.55$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.31 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70fb…d507backed Over | 51c | 82.06$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.78 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed18…1defbacked Over | 17c | 73.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5046…7676backed Over | 48c | 73.58$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 25c | 72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…62f5backed Over | 35c | 70.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c0…9f76backed Over | 15c | 70.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 57c | 68.41$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.53 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 48c | 67.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d7…2b16backed Under | 46c | 65.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.45 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0a…7ca8backed Under | 46c | 64.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7797…668bbacked Over | 44c | 64.48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd92…50a5backed Under | 46c | 64.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd4…676ebacked Under | 46c | 61.82$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.38 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 35c | 57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8a…8775backed Under | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 48c | 55.46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.01 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…0b8abacked Over | 48c | 53.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 48c | 52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…8ae5backed Over | 49c | 51.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Under | 48c | 49.21$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kayserispor vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 2.5this page
- Kayserispor vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Kayserispor vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 1.5Under won
- Kayserispor vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Kayserispor vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Kayserispor (-1.5)Fatih Karagümrük SK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.