TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Kayserispor vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$182,552

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $182,552 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd9c4…6f95backed Under52c90,244$46,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,397.835558.2%32 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Over49c16,707$8,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,219.353560%21 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over45c13,296$5,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,942.17,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Over48c11,912$5,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,758.52864.3%18 W · 10 L+4.1wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+26.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5447…1236backed Over50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c34…e260backed Under50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over48c6,430$3,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,101.3167050.6%339 W · 331 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over48c5,995$2,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,872.152,33446.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over49c5,730$2,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,818.2583440.8%340 W · 494 L-35.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Under52c5,666$2,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,719.83360.6%20 W · 13 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Over49c5,594$2,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,758.92748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed Over51c3,926$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick53cpaid-54.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over47c3,404$1,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,607.7843546.7%203 W · 232 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over38c3,248$1,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,242.945,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over47c3,067$1,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,441.382,17948%1,046 W · 1,133 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Over50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5006446.9%30 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked Under51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4702450%12 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under52c2,910$1,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,399.6427542.5%117 W · 158 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b93…e941backed Over50c2,799$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.6160%0 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.40per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Over49c2,246$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.691145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over49c2,169$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.057261.1%44 W · 28 L+7.6wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+23.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009450%47 W · 47 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Over53c1,628$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.764153.7%22 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa3…172fbacked Over47c1,497$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.5920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x092e…c685backed Over47c1,280$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Over37c1,142$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.110920.2%22 W · 87 L-7.8wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-38%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Over47c1,119$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.123342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Over33c1,015$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.0340%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4908845.5%40 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7da7…17aabacked Over49c816.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd411…7a18backed Over48c549.79$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.44228.6%12 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick20cpaid+80.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under53c499.99$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2359764.9%63 W · 34 L+0.3wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd06f…0263backed Over51c471.8$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.231560%9 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Over22c469.32$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.258432.1%27 W · 57 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Under48c450$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2349638.5%37 W · 59 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Over47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18840%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4440…f8fdbacked Over49c393.88$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1931323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.24per pick47cpaid-55.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7437…3ebebacked Over8c386.55$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6940%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over48c355.21$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.53046.7%14 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b84…2f73backed Under55c327.27$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.272763%17 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf277…9a5fbacked Over47c319.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under52c316.78$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.7964842%272 W · 376 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502544%11 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15013357.1%76 W · 57 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under54c287.77$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5822333.2%74 W · 149 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2085…dd27backed Over53c268.43$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1417142.3%30 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb431…b654backed Over54c256.48$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over48c239.65$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.2128349.1%139 W · 144 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006563.1%41 W · 24 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020241.6%84 W · 118 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over38c195.92$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.8134158.9%201 W · 140 L+25.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf9db…dd44backed Over52c193.34$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.166753.7%36 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93f1…b99dbacked Under53c185.38$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.13633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-46%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba6c…20e3backed Under54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.19862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+46.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over47c180$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.642347.8%202 W · 221 L+1.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over51c176.47$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9026653.4%142 W · 124 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0632…d1b7backed Over55c148.09$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.451838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over47c139.2$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.421,15960.7%703 W · 456 L+68.5wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1703…1ab4backed Over34c138.7$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over49c131.27$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.858665.1%56 W · 30 L+11.6wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+35.1%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under47c125$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.251,71148.3%827 W · 884 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6c5…0d72backed Under77c114.25$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.281844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x562e…922bbacked Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505763.2%36 W · 21 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Over46c101.85$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.284252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a2b…d4e9backed Under77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x400e…374bbacked Over10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Over13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.516725.7%43 W · 124 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8822542.7%96 W · 129 L-11.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501637.5%6 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-42.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd754…7857backed Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.24per pick54cpaid+47.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2037149.6%184 W · 187 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5ce…286abacked Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-51.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under48c98.47$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.281,46748%704 W · 763 L+3.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked Under52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.15560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x78d8…cffcbacked Under79c94.94$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.941741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-44.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ad4…7eeabacked Under80c86.55$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.317100%7 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x70fb…d507backed Over51c82.06$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.781060%6 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Over50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed18…1defbacked Over17c73.77$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7630%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5046…7676backed Over48c73.58$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.571546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over25c72$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1847842.9%205 W · 273 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9aa5…62f5backed Over35c70.88$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03c0…9f76backed Over15c70.71$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under57c68.41$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.531,24039.2%486 W · 754 L-35.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Over48c67.94$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.946662.1%41 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2d7…2b16backed Under46c65.65$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.45771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+35.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f0a…7ca8backed Under46c64.71$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.94560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+39.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7797…668bbacked Over44c64.48$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3740%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcd92…50a5backed Under46c64.3$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.72966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+20.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fd4…676ebacked Under46c61.82$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.38757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+17.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Under50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over35c57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.957950.6%40 W · 39 L+8.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+25.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfb8a…8775backed Under72c55.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.562065%13 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under48c55.46$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.011,10747.7%528 W · 579 L+1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a67…0b8abacked Over48c53.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.48540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid+18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under48c52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0416346.6%76 W · 87 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f7c…8ae5backed Over49c51.2$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.94540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Under48c49.21$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5910236.3%37 W · 65 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.