Other European Leagues · resolved market
Kayserispor vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x537d6c4cbf18895ceee71d13722d378c9b943ae82d81efb6e6b304507a324a13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,609
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,609 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 18c | 1,240$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.45 | 109 | 20.2%22 W · 87 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 53c | 1,129$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.37 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +8.8wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 53c | 802.94$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.38 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 47c | 761.86$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.51 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 46c | 593.58$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.54 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 23c | 570.66$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 53c | 480.69$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.77 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes | 56c | 359.61$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.84 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e09…2d11backed Yes | 55c | 292$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dfe…4feebacked No | 45c | 292$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.6 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 46c | 276.7$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.23 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…dd27backed Yes | 57c | 245.61$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…361ebacked Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…39fabacked No | 76c | 239.79$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 77c | 207.75$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Yes | 53c | 158$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.52 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked Yes | 18c | 145.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 60 | 25%15 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 43c | 125$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.25 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 54c | 117.01$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.19 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 50c | 116.57$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.29 | 206 | 32%66 W · 140 L | -17.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 43c | 111.2$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.38 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 59c | 103.37$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.89 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 187 | 49.7%93 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4680…e592backed Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71a…f135backed Yes | 53c | 86.85$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 52c | 84.23$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.22 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 39c | 79.37$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…62f5backed Yes | 42c | 79.18$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…e187backed Yes | 42c | 67.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 18c | 64.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 26c | 61.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 53c | 57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd754…7857backed No | 45c | 56.17$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Yes | 53c | 46.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x497d…c134backed Yes | 39c | 44.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef5a…a040backed Yes | 48c | 40.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7437…3ebebacked Yes | 38c | 39.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Yes | 56c | 25.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b45…d5f4backed No | 44c | 24.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Yes | 55c | 19.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Yes | 53c | 18.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kayserispor vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Kayserispor vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 1.5Under won
- Kayserispor vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 2.5Under won
- Kayserispor vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Kayserispor vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Kayserispor (-1.5)Fatih Karagümrük SK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.