Other European Leagues · resolved market

Kayserispor vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba3a4347cda22051f156666ac6cb3fef8eb6fae2bc29261203d31f269ccd7c41

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $48,609

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,609 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd9c4…6f95backed Under	29c	20,000$5,850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,149.99	55	58.2%32 W · 23 L	+3.5wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+16%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	69c	8,516$5,858 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,857.55	7,889	45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L	+11.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	63c	7,096$4,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,450.33	5,604	42%2,356 W · 3,248 L	+75.1wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under	54c	2,710$1,460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,249.26	834	40.8%340 W · 494 L	-35.3wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8566…c626backed Under	50c	2,069$1,034 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,034.53	18	66.7%12 W · 6 L	+2.6wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5dca…87d0backed Over	50c	1,500$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	36	50%18 W · 18 L	+4.0wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+54.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Over	35c	1,456$511 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$511.23	109	20.2%22 W · 87 L	-7.8wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-38%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa2dc…b624backed Over	35c	999.94$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$349.98	45	35.6%16 W · 29 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over	51c	980$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.8	149	45.6%68 W · 81 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under	37c	835.23$312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$523.48	223	33.2%74 W · 149 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over	51c	557.83$284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.19	63	42.9%27 W · 36 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb813…f0efbacked Over	67c	432.08$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.24	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	71cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3697…e574backed Over	62c	425$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.5	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over	76c	394.74$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	205	72.2%148 W · 57 L	+11.3wins	+0.05per pick	67cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over	50c	360$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	371	49.6%184 W · 187 L	+9.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked Under	45c	354.22$159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$194.82	34	35.3%12 W · 22 L	+6.3wins	+0.19per pick	17cpaid	+862.6%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xbfbf…8c7bbacked Over	51c	333.33$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over	75c	325.95$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.08	2,334	46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under	79c	317.1$251 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.41	501	46.1%231 W · 270 L	-17.1wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba6c…20e3backed Under	40c	250.64$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.64	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.13per pick	50cpaid	+46.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under	24c	243.38$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.97	1,467	48%704 W · 763 L	+3.7wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over	75c	224.31$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.02	435	46.7%203 W · 232 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Under	47c	213.93$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.93	142	17.6%25 W · 117 L	-5.6wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7797…668bbacked Over	45c	203.62$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.63	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-2.1wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4588…d206backed Under	60c	200$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over	38c	179.13$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.38	437	21.7%95 W · 342 L	-49.3wins	-0.11per pick	33cpaid	-50.9%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over	68c	166.09$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.62	1,240	39.2%486 W · 754 L	-35.3wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32e0…a295backed Over	72c	138.89$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-1.2wins	-0.39per pick	72cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c67…a813backed Over	76c	134$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.84	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	77cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Under	54c	130.17$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.17	119	41.2%49 W · 70 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38ea…95d1backed Over	62c	119.35$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.7wins	-0.29per pick	62cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ea7…1be7backed Over	76c	118.38$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.97	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3d9f…77aebacked Over	51c	117.65$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Under	24c	110.38$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.89	20	40%8 W · 12 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x27d3…0764backed Over	44c	110$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.8	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-18%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd983…d92dbacked Over	49c	102.24$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	25c	93.01$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.76	2,543	52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L	+18.3wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d6b…591abacked Over	61c	85.91$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over	47c	84.98$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.94	513	56.3%289 W · 224 L	+23.9wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x97f7…df41backed Over	77c	79.99$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.59	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.28per pick	78cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over	76c	78.84$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.71	283	49.1%139 W · 144 L	-8.3wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4148…4397backed Over	51c	77.94$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-2.2wins	-0.12per pick	54cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2de6…e187backed Under	41c	76.01$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.83	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbe2…5981backed Over	42c	73.73$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.97	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+1.7wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb7f…0abbbacked Over	44c	71.45$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.44	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6c5…0d72backed Under	70c	71.27$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.27	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d54…81a1backed Over	43c	69.79$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.01	114	49.1%56 W · 58 L	+5.6wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over	72c	69.44$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	278	64.4%179 W · 99 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	63cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over	72c	68.04$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.99	423	47.8%202 W · 221 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2605…2b17backed Over	75c	66.67$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over	55c	66.12$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.37	216	58.8%127 W · 89 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Over	67c	65.16$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.57	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over	30c	60$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.8	79	49.4%39 W · 40 L	+5.7wins	+0.07per pick	42cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over	57c	60$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.2	72	51.4%37 W · 35 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Over	47c	57.29$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.96	28	50%14 W · 14 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Under	48c	55.33$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.91	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16f8…31e9backed Over	64c	54.97$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.34	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.12per pick	44cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over	63c	50.79$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	478	42.9%205 W · 273 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under	25c	50.32$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.74	86	65.1%56 W · 30 L	+11.6wins	+0.13per pick	52cpaid	+35.1%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Over	63c	49.95$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.28	66	62.1%41 W · 25 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Over	78c	49.89$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.91	110	52.7%58 W · 52 L	+7.8wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x400e…374bbacked Over	42c	47.78$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0632…d1b7backed Over	29c	45.72$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.28	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Under	49c	40.81$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.81	44	43.2%19 W · 25 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03c0…9f76backed Over	47c	40.63$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.1	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over	74c	40.54$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	252	63.5%160 W · 92 L	-6.2wins	-0.02per pick	66cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	41	56.1%23 W · 18 L	-2.9wins	-0.07per pick	63cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6894…59d8backed Over	75c	40$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	41	68.3%28 W · 13 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	72cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Over	28c	38.18$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.77	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+2.6wins	+0.28per pick	38cpaid	+52.8%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1703…1ab4backed Over	62c	37.1$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb6c2…36dcbacked Over	52c	34.01$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.52	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x087f…2ebfbacked Over	69c	33.74$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.4	32	78.1%25 W · 7 L	+4.7wins	+0.15per pick	63cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Over	75c	33.33$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	57	63.2%36 W · 21 L	+4.0wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under	48c	32.93$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.2	341	58.9%201 W · 140 L	+25.9wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Under	50c	31.82$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.96	35	60%21 W · 14 L	+2.0wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x70fb…d507backed Over	67c	31.77$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.34	10	60%6 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa658…f93ebacked Over	72c	27.78$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	71cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce4d…ade4backed Under	37c	27.44$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.26	10	80%8 W · 2 L	+2.9wins	+0.29per pick	51cpaid	+100.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over	74c	27$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.98	598	55.5%332 W · 266 L	+13.6wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4929…b9f9backed Over	75c	26.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.24per pick	74cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94a4…748abacked Over	72c	24.52$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.62	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.3wins	-0.63per pick	63cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Under	62c	24.19$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.18	136	53.7%73 W · 63 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x134c…eeefbacked Over	49c	21.14$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.31	63	42.9%27 W · 36 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6372…1a3cbacked Under	66c	16.17$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.47	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.38per pick	62cpaid	+61.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22a7…64fabacked Over	74c	14.94$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.28per pick	61cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Over	77c	14.23$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.96	55	54.5%30 W · 25 L	-4.9wins	-0.09per pick	63cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5540…eff4backed Over	75c	13.96$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.47	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	73cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Kayserispor vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 1.5this page
Kayserispor vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Kayserispor vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 2.5Under won
Kayserispor vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 3.5Under won
Kayserispor vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Kayserispor (-1.5)Fatih Karagümrük SK won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Kayserispor vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event