Premier League · resolved market
Oxford United FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb829509d1720ed9ae40b7948e46ce8a937fb3feb861571cc211bc4236f04b69c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,508
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,508 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 1,784$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.92 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 50c | 1,300$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.52 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 833.15$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.38 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ac…2de8backed Over | 65c | 483.64$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 37c | 426.96$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.43 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x028d…dc79backed Over | 4c | 310.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 66c | 305.2$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63ce…dd2ebacked Over | 63c | 270.75$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb431…b654backed Under | 35c | 247.38$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +144.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d7…2b16backed Under | 35c | 236.26$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.57 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +128.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Over | 66c | 227.27$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 216.37$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.55 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 65c | 169.23$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 64c | 165.8$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.11 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…2a20backed Under | 39c | 155$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.55 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…ed19backed Under | 37c | 137.88$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9140…17e0backed Under | 37c | 132.34$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 36c | 120$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 408 | 21.8%89 W · 319 L | -53.7wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x17d5…c2b7backed Over | 65c | 106.84$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d5…d4debacked Over | 65c | 98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0293…f15bbacked Over | 64c | 95.36$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.03 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -6.1wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 50c | 95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 43c | 82.27$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.51 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…eedfbacked Over | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -5.7wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3746…a99fbacked Over | 48c | 63.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -5.0wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 34c | 50.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.17 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 35c | 48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4796…79fcbacked Under | 37c | 45.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x030d…8e95backed Over | 48c | 43.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd418…d11fbacked Over | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 47c | 42.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 67c | 35.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…4622backed Over | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 73c | 29.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…735cbacked Over | 55c | 27.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +9.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 72c | 25.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 68c | 23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 105 | 69.5%73 W · 32 L | +10.3wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Over | 60c | 19.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oxford United FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Oxford United FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Oxford United FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Oxford United FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Oxford United FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Blackburn Rovers FC (-2.5)Oxford United FC won
- Spread: Oxford United FC (-1.5)Blackburn Rovers FC won
- Spread: Oxford United FC (-2.5)Blackburn Rovers FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.