Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Paper Rex vs DetonatioN FocusMe - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37bbff43e48746e3c4fa2869488a7416ff11333d0e99b16a5ea0542b99a8fe65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paper Rexof Paper Rex, DetonatioN FocusMe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,918
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,743
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,918 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked Paper Rex | 70c | 8,105$5,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,426.7 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 31c | 3,811$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.36 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 32c | 3,170$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.82 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 282 | 47.5%134 W · 148 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Paper Rex | 60c | 925$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 153 | 43.8%67 W · 86 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Paper Rex | 60c | 530$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…7350backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 24c | 130.41$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 37c | 115$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Paper Rex | 62c | 113.47$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.65 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 11c | 111.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d7…2b16backed Paper Rex | 62c | 88.96$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Paper Rex | 60c | 82.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…ada4backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Paper Rex | 64c | 71.88$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 146 | 61.6%90 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x372d…a119backed Paper Rex | 62c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…1618backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 38c | 30.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…ed19backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 38c | 29.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc455…8640backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 38c | 28.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs DetonatioN FocusMe - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+1.5)Paper Rex won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff PlayoffsPaper Rex won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs DetonatioN FocusMe - Map 1 WinnerPaper Rex won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.