TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nuclear TigeRESof Nemiga, Nuclear TigeRES
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,901
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,004

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,901 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Nuclear TigeRES45c6,052$2,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,330.445,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Nuclear TigeRES45c5,459$2,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,012.1266851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed Nemiga55c3,311$1,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,83414051.4%72 W · 68 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Nemiga55c2,420$1,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,335.7129044.8%130 W · 160 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Nuclear TigeRES46c1,519$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.412,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Nemiga2c1,500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3042427.1%115 W · 309 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96ef…cca4backed Nemiga1c1,485$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0216347.2%77 W · 86 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Nemiga45c1,475$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.511,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Nuclear TigeRES47c1,016$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.4223848.3%115 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf964…a4cebacked Nemiga54c1,004$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.165837.9%22 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Nemiga56c1,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56018543.8%81 W · 104 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Nuclear TigeRES45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55026054.2%141 W · 119 L-0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Nemiga55c878.97$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.7385446.4%396 W · 458 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfed1…eedbbacked Nemiga55c832.71$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.992544%11 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Nemiga54c730$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.7912426.6%33 W · 91 L-10.9wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b0c…d43abacked Nemiga55c645.82$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.6746447.6%221 W · 243 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6707…d4d8backed Nemiga39c564.03$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22222654.9%124 W · 102 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Nemiga56c544.64$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30521945.7%100 W · 119 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Nuclear TigeRES68c516.32$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.716,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b5…c0aebacked Nemiga55c499.99$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.994353.5%23 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd66…f510backed Nemiga55c499.99$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.992642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe419…f6c4backed Nemiga55c430.55$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.85944.1%26 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Nemiga53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Nemiga59c375$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.2513844.2%61 W · 77 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Nuclear TigeRES41c371.5$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.21,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53b1…8e43backed Nuclear TigeRES79c361.61$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.421947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Nuclear TigeRES69c359.67$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.822,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Nemiga55c322.75$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.931,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked Nuclear TigeRES46c318$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.7214137.6%53 W · 88 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9859…1650backed Nuclear TigeRES60c225$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9012538.4%48 W · 77 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e5e…67c5backed Nemiga32c213.97$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3530527.5%84 W · 221 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nuclear TigeRES71c211.93$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.275,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0b…4e72backed Nemiga52c211.54$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11020059%118 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1ee…0267backed Nemiga53c203.87$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.2518054.4%98 W · 82 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c67…a479backed Nemiga38c202.28$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.520258.9%119 W · 83 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Nuclear TigeRES46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10857641.1%237 W · 339 L-21.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3090…be73backed Nemiga54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1084252.4%22 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbcf8…94b6backed Nemiga54c199.95$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.97955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x623d…3aeebacked Nemiga55c196.36$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10810137.6%38 W · 63 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Nuclear TigeRES69c184.56$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.374,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Nuclear TigeRES42c181.21$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.158343.6%254 W · 329 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Nemiga56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10047447.5%225 W · 249 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Nuclear TigeRES71c177.77$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.124,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Nemiga55c176.24$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9357641.5%239 W · 337 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Nuclear TigeRES45c172.75$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.672,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Nemiga27c162.27$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2225634.4%88 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa943…bcbebacked Nemiga58c162.07$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick62cpaid-35.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Nemiga54c161.86$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.071,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Nemiga58c156.31$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6621752.5%114 W · 103 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Nuclear TigeRES46c155.52$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.982,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed Nemiga54c150$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8132844.5%146 W · 182 L-0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Nuclear TigeRES55c140$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Nuclear TigeRES68c130.37$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.174,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Nuclear TigeRES43c129.99$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.591,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Nemiga54c124.16$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.4910545.7%48 W · 57 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe252…5714backed Nuclear TigeRES43c116.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2723335.2%82 W · 151 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ffb…f7f0backed Nemiga52c111.85$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1630951.5%159 W · 150 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x62a1…d53ebacked Nuclear TigeRES45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1117930.2%54 W · 125 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0284…97f6backed Nuclear TigeRES46c110$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.45251.9%27 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08e0…f4a0backed Nuclear TigeRES46c104.13$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2383856.1%470 W · 368 L+31.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae8e…08f9backed Nuclear TigeRES47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5337050.5%187 W · 183 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked Nemiga41c99.98$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9958254.3%316 W · 266 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e6…e722backed Nemiga55c93.48$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1826245.8%120 W · 142 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39e4…f089backed Nuclear TigeRES43c93$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.0132138.3%123 W · 198 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Nemiga57c90$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.35954.2%32 W · 27 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x277e…259ebacked Nemiga56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508463.1%53 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Nuclear TigeRES67c83$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.184,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Nemiga56c74$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4427744.4%123 W · 154 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2d0…bf0cbacked Nemiga30c73.32$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226445.3%29 W · 35 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3724…c59abacked Nuclear TigeRES63c73.04$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.769732%31 W · 66 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Nemiga27c67.79$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.024,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Nemiga54c65$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.154348.6%264 W · 279 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4704…515ebacked Nemiga41c60.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2537140.7%151 W · 220 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa815…3518backed Nuclear TigeRES46c58.33$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.576253.2%33 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e1e…2a7dbacked Nuclear TigeRES55c54.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.434858.3%28 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe84…54ddbacked Nemiga51c53.45$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2638753.2%206 W · 181 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x155b…d7babacked Nuclear TigeRES66c52.02$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.640652.2%212 W · 194 L+22.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked Nuclear TigeRES64c51$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.363828.9%11 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc3b…d591backed Nemiga55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.518233%60 W · 122 L-22.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-26.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x15cf…4d9bbacked Nemiga54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2726448.1%127 W · 137 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b78…e589backed Nuclear TigeRES48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2635861.7%221 W · 137 L+18.3wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf95d…2ebdbacked Nemiga56c48.76$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.43554.3%19 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78d7…291dbacked Nemiga56c48$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.885655.4%31 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca7d…26c4backed Nemiga56c45.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.754643.5%20 W · 26 L-7.2wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-26.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8ef0…88abbacked Nemiga33c45.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154537.8%17 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75e2…2ed0backed Nemiga55c45.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2544654.9%245 W · 201 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked Nuclear TigeRES45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4426546.8%124 W · 141 L-18.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x08f6…cd51backed Nuclear TigeRES46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4813148.9%64 W · 67 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Nuclear TigeRES68c42.01$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.593,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Nemiga57c42$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9419849%97 W · 101 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked Nemiga57c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.86851.5%35 W · 33 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x50ab…70a2backed Nemiga53c37.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011842.4%50 W · 68 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb3d…58f5backed Nuclear TigeRES45c37.26$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4337855.3%209 W · 169 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c27…21a9backed Nemiga56c36.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2223158.4%135 W · 96 L-1.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e6f…7248backed Nuclear TigeRES67c35.5$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.713737.8%14 W · 23 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0446…ffe6backed Nemiga57c32.54$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed5b…8e60backed Nuclear TigeRES46c32.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.486940.6%28 W · 41 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Nuclear TigeRES72c31.23$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.627,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Nuclear TigeRES46c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.225045.2%113 W · 137 L-1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39dd…7af9backed Nuclear TigeRES67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.853429.4%10 W · 24 L-6.2wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-45.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.