CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs ASTRAL (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7c583dcff43bac1bc34a812587d0f52d2de585299166873e64f1c25bb0700a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eternal Fireof Eternal Fire, ASTRAL
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,622
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,066
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,622 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ASTRAL | 39c | 2,216$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.17 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Eternal Fire | 69c | 1,239$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.32 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed Eternal Fire | 59c | 1,224$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.07 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked ASTRAL | 40c | 788.95$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.86 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Eternal Fire | 58c | 607.65$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.64 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked ASTRAL | 35c | 589.65$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.09 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed ASTRAL | 29c | 582.12$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.15 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked Eternal Fire | 60c | 550$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 286 | 57.7%165 W · 121 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed ASTRAL | 40c | 549.63$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.01 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Eternal Fire | 58c | 528.57$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 219 | 45.7%100 W · 119 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed ASTRAL | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked ASTRAL | 39c | 489.2$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.41 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa83f…b857backed Eternal Fire | 59c | 438.71$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.69 | 127 | 49.6%63 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked ASTRAL | 42c | 391.61$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.17 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca4…f852backed ASTRAL | 31c | 362.25$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.8 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Eternal Fire | 62c | 360.79$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.12 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…a5c9backed ASTRAL | 40c | 344.69$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.87 | 231 | 46.3%107 W · 124 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…11f1backed ASTRAL | 38c | 335$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.3 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6013…9826backed Eternal Fire | 63c | 312.78$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.59 | 118 | 63.6%75 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed ASTRAL | 27c | 301.68$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.71 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked ASTRAL | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 259 | 44.8%116 W · 143 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Eternal Fire | 76c | 290$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ASTRAL | 26c | 267.04$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.21 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…0267backed Eternal Fire | 62c | 262.35$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.69 | 180 | 54.4%98 W · 82 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Eternal Fire | 60c | 261.67$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.87 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed ASTRAL | 39c | 247.42$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.28 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Eternal Fire | 62c | 228.71$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.43 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Eternal Fire | 66c | 218.88$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.37 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed ASTRAL | 31c | 211.26$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.49 | 259 | 34%88 W · 171 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ASTRAL | 31c | 210.57$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.52 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Eternal Fire | 65c | 195.16$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.09 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Eternal Fire | 60c | 183.33$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 485 | 62.7%304 W · 181 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ASTRAL | 35c | 173.03$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.55 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7edd…c57fbacked Eternal Fire | 60c | 166.11$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.15 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb12…6a81backed Eternal Fire | 60c | 160$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x116f…c365backed Eternal Fire | 66c | 158$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9448…7cacbacked Eternal Fire | 61c | 133.48$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Eternal Fire | 67c | 133.42$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed ASTRAL | 16c | 130$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked ASTRAL | 41c | 120.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.55 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked ASTRAL | 19c | 115$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed ASTRAL | 38c | 113.95$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…719bbacked Eternal Fire | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed ASTRAL | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 370 | 50.5%187 W · 183 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7b…b6bfbacked Eternal Fire | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…1ac3backed Eternal Fire | 58c | 99.98$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed ASTRAL | 31c | 87.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Eternal Fire | 59c | 85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed ASTRAL | 41c | 84.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 740 | 54.6%404 W · 336 L | +15.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2b…70efbacked Eternal Fire | 60c | 83.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.62 | 125 | 64.8%81 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked ASTRAL | 23c | 75.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed ASTRAL | 41c | 74.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.95 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ASTRAL | 34c | 71.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed ASTRAL | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 838 | 56.1%470 W · 368 L | +31.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aae…0da3backed Eternal Fire | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 142 | 55.6%79 W · 63 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed ASTRAL | 41c | 66.4$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39dd…7af9backed ASTRAL | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -6.2wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed Eternal Fire | 60c | 61.23$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea43…e53abacked ASTRAL | 21c | 56.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f8…e851backed ASTRAL | 47c | 53.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Eternal Fire | 58c | 49.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked ASTRAL | 33c | 48.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf95d…2ebdbacked Eternal Fire | 59c | 46.93$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf37d…a88bbacked Eternal Fire | 60c | 46.35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed Eternal Fire | 59c | 42.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 446 | 54.9%245 W · 201 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Eternal Fire | 60c | 39.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…dc8bbacked Eternal Fire | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Eternal Fire | 58c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 217 | 52.5%114 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Eternal Fire | 60c | 34.93$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Eternal Fire | 54c | 32.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c2…94e1backed Eternal Fire | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb00…fda1backed Eternal Fire | 62c | 30.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 411 | 47.7%196 W · 215 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b1…af2bbacked ASTRAL | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…5531backed ASTRAL | 40c | 29.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed ASTRAL | 39c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6700…67c4backed ASTRAL | 38c | 26.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 153 | 51.6%79 W · 74 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3335…f6debacked Eternal Fire | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 157 | 70.1%110 W · 47 L | +13.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…0ecdbacked Eternal Fire | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 329 | 56.8%187 W · 142 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Eternal Fire | 59c | 24.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 336 | 57.1%192 W · 144 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f6…af63backed ASTRAL | 42c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Eternal Fire | 56c | 22.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c7…4e5bbacked Eternal Fire | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…68f3backed Eternal Fire | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…a753backed Eternal Fire | 59c | 18.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Eternal Fire | 70c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs ASTRAL (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs ASTRAL - Map 1 WinnerEternal Fire won
- Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs ASTRAL - Map 2 WinnerEternal Fire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.